Wednesday, February 12, 2025

A Minority Debt Report


Comedian John Mulaney has a routine:   there’s a horse loose in the hospital . . . !!


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Some Disney insiders worry that the company has become addicted to price hikes and has reached the limits of what middle-class Americans can afford, reports Robbie Whelan.

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Sierra Bille has received $350,00 so far in scholarships and financial aid to attend New York University. The 24-year-old Las Vegas native applied to dozens of assistance programs to afford her longtime dream school, whose published cost for 2022-23 topped $82,000, including housing and living expenses.

***


A Minority Debt Report

I don't know where I found this but what is astonishing is that this view is considered a philosophy.

The Federal Reserve has tools to keep interest rates falling, including buying Treasury bonds from its member banks. This drives borrowing costs down. After the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed used tools like these to hold 10-year interest rates around 2 percent for more than a decade, despite a growing national debt. Why assume that such policies won’t work in the future?

Of the $35 trillion in U.S. national debt, only about $8-9 trillion is held by foreign countries. China, the debt hawk’s No. 1 boogeyman, holds only $816 billion or 2.3 percent of this $35 trillion. The rest — roughly $25 trillion — is held domestically by U.S. government agencies like the Social Security Trust Fund and military retirement funds, as well as private corporations. Foreign and domestic holders earn interest on their holdings, so the debt is a paying investment for them. For China and others, holding dollars also keeps their currencies cheap so they can export more.

Instead of obsessing over a government debt crisis that may never happen, it makes more sense to borrow and spend money to mobilize our immense resources to deal with immediate problems, as we did in World War II. The U.S. needs to support stressed working and middle-class families, respond to dangerous conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, counter China’s growing global influence, and manage the transition to cleaner energy and the rise of artificial intelligence.

This argument avoids the basic question of debt: can the cost of it be maintained without pain? Debt can be productive, as borrowing for seed for a crop. But often debt is malignant and a good signal is when money must be borrowed to maintain it.

Tuesday, February 11, 2025

USAID



Marriages in China plummeted by a fifth last year, the biggest drop on record, despite manifold efforts by authorities to encourage young couples to wed and have children to boost the country's declining population.

***

Since the 1990s, Democratic economic policy had largely been shaped by a technocratic approach, derided by its critics as “neoliberalism,” that included respect for markets, enthusiasm for trade liberalization and expanded social welfare protections, and an aversion to industrial policy. By contrast, the Biden team expressed much more ambition: to spend more, to do more to reshape particular industries, and to rely less on market mechanisms to deal with problems such as climate change. Thus, the administration set out to bring back vigorous government involvement across the economy, including in such areas as public investment, antitrust enforcement, and worker protections; revive large-scale industrial policy; and support enormous injections of direct economic stimulus, even if it entailed unprecedented deficits. The administration eventually came to dub this approach “Bidenomics.” This is from an informative article in Foreign Affairs, here:

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/post-neoliberal-delusion




USAID

On her four-country tour through Africa in 2018 -- her first major solo international trip as first lady -- Melania Trump offered praise for what she described as "successful" USAID programs as she observed them up close.

The $50 million fund, known as W-GDP, was developed to be distributed by USAID with an ambitious goal of empowering 50 million women in developing countries by 2025.

The initiative was led by the president's daughter and then senior adviser, Ivanka Trump.

Apparently Rubio once had kind words for the agency.

These superficial endorsements have been floated as important discrepincies in USAID's recent critical evaluation.

But isn't that what fraud is: a discrepency between stated and planned aims? And isn't secrecy a part of that? “The documents my staff reviewed, on their face, failed to comply with standard classifications protocols. Only after demanding to speak to your USAID Office of Security, my staff uncovered that this data was, in fact, unclassified,” Senator Ernst wrote in a Tuesday letter to Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

The foolish projects that USAID has supported may not be charactistic of the agency. But don't they prompt a look? And don't they raise questions as to the judgment of the people in the program?

What is it about overseeing the program that is so upsetting?

 

Monday, February 10, 2025

Feminism and Global Warming

The Halftime Show was a classic arts representation of an intense, popular, minority paradigm: Commercialized revolution.
 
***

More countries have produced a nuclear bomb than can mass-produce a jet engine.

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In his 2020 annual letter Larry Fink, the CEO of the largest asset manager in the world, mentioned the the words “sustainability” and “climate” nearly 50 times. In 2023 it was less than 10.

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Feminism and Global Warming

Good news! 'UN Women' is the United Nations entity dedicated to gender equality and the empowerment of women. They have a research arm. Yes, their own research arm. UN Women researchers find that feminism holds the real key to preventing the planet from global warming. This was reported in Scientific American! Scientific American!

From “How Feminism Can Guide Climate Change Action:”

The current economic system that underpins that status quo is rooted in the extraction of natural resources and exploitation of cheap or unpaid labor, often done by women and marginalized communities. This system therefore drives the climate crisis while perpetuating inequalities based on gender, race and class. It prioritizes the interests of corporations, governments and elites in positions of power and wealth, while destroying the natural environment that poor and marginalized people depend on the most.

So the jihad over faith-based global warming is not just about ending fossil fuel–based economies but a more fundamental transformation of our economic and political systems.

This is truly a rare outbreak of honesty in the so-called warming revolution. This is about political and economic power, achievable only by unilateral surrender of existing Western structures.

The paper focuses upon women from Indigenous and local communities who have used their traditional knowledge of tree species to lead sustainable forestry initiatives in Colombia; and in Bangladesh, during extreme floods, women relied on traditional rural cooking methods to provide food in remote affected areas.

These new systems would prioritize the well-being of people and the planet, over profits and elite power, to enable a more sustainable, resilient, inclusive and equitable future. This feminist vision builds on thinking from a diversity of cultural contexts and growing interest in “well-being economies.” For example, the Buen Vivir (Living Well) paradigm that underpins the development strategies of Bolivia and Ecuador is inspired by Indigenous knowledge and values that promote harmonious relationships between humans and nature.

So we are to abandon our current lives based upon Western knowledge and achievements which have elevated our living standards immeasurably over the last two hundred years in favor of the qualities of impoverished, autocratic, suppressed cultures reminiscent of the circumstances the Western miracle has overcome.

Bolivian and Ecuadorian cultures, as charming as they might be, will not rise to manage the world of Western technology, economy, and philosophy. They can meet only if the West declines to those more suppressed, primitive cultures. 

Strangely, the most important question raised by this plan for this new world is never asked: How will that decline be managed?

 

Sunday, February 9, 2025

Sunday/Simon


What explains simultaneous sign language in a world of closed captioning?

***

Do our pets eat better than our ancestors 400 years ago?

***

Stagecoach was the major means of travel in the early Republic. Since the coaches averaged about two to three miles per hour, the trip from New York to Philadelphia could take at least three days. They were usually mule-drawn, not horse-drawn
A well known mule breeder was George Washington.

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Sunday/Simon

In today's gospel, Christ preaches from a boat off the shore, then says to Simon the gospel's famous quote: "Put out into deep water and lower your nets for a catch." Commentators love the symbolism of it but, after the catch, Simon says something puzzling. He says, "Depart from me, Lord, for I am a sinful man."

Why would he say that?

Certainly, as the analysts say, Simon Peter, as a fisherman, may have been rightfully impressed. But enough to make a public confession to a stranger?

And he also took Christ's fishing suggestion against his own experience, then gave up his profession to be a disciple.

Whatever happened, Simon Peter was more than impressed.

Saturday, February 8, 2025

Sat Stats





Sat Stats

The results reported in the national exam officially known as the National Assessment of Educational Progress show New York school districts are spending $89 billion this academic year.

Records show across the five boroughs, public schools spent an average of $21,112 per student in fiscal year 2023-24, though dozens of schools spent more – up to $60,000 a student.,

Despite the sky-high spending, only 33% of New Yoek fourth graders scored proficient in math and just 28% were proficient in reading last year.

Older students’ results were even worse – 23% of city eighth graders were proficient in math and 29% in reading.

Even more troubling is the huge racial gap in test scores within New York City.

The results show only 16% of black and Hispanic fourth-grade students were proficient in math, compared to 53% of white students and 58% of Asian students.

***

The Mars Climate Orbiter, built at a cost of $125 million, was a 638-kilogram robotic space probe launched by NASA on December 11, 1998, to study the Martian climate. It crashed on entering Mars's atmosphere. The engineers did not take into consideration that the units had been converted. i.e., the acceleration readings measured in English units of pound-seconds^2 for a metric measure of force called newton-seconds^2. In a sense, the spacecraft was lost in translation.

Any confident in climate measurements or effective teaching techniques might ponder on this.

***

Only 3 of the top 50 largest Latin American companies are Argentine (22 are Brazilian, 14 Mexican, and 8 Chilean). Moreover, only 7 of the top 100 largest Latin American companies are Argentine.

There are just about $50 billion invested by Argentine companies abroad; compared to $300 billion from Brazil, $215 billion from Mexico, $140 billion from Chile, and $75 billion from Colombia.

Friday, February 7, 2025

Overcoming Chaos in Climate Science

USAID is a 10,000-person, $40 billion agency.

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Philadelphia Eagles offensive linemen average 336 pounds and are 6 foot 6.

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Roland Busch, CEO of Germany-based Siemens, said in an interview there’s overregulation in Europe that stifles competition. “We don't have one market. When you're a startup and you want to scale, I mean where do you go? You go to the United States. You can scale within one market."

***


Overcoming Chaos in Climate Science

A characteristic of the limited climate discussion is how caution is only one-sided. Concern is permitted on the climate side but not on the proposed 'solutions.' One-sided openmindedness is an oxymoron, unwise and anti-reflective. It is the hallmark of anti-science, superstition and its derivitives. This is from an interesting article that examins the arruracy of faith-based climate science, the models.

In chaotic systems, the results only appear to be random, but they’re not random at all — they’re entirely deterministic. If you knew exactly the initial conditions of such a system and could precisely describe the physical processes, you could predict tornados. It’s only due to our lack of knowledge these events look random. You can’t average away chaos.

Climate modelers address this problem by taking our limited data and using the uncertainties in the many model parameters to tune the models in order to force a fit to the data [3]. But the fit isn’t unique as there are many ways to tune the models,. They believe this history-matching will neutralize the sensitivity to the initial data, but as soon as the simulation moves from the tuning phase to prediction, numerical dispersion takes over again.

Given this hypersensitivity to initial conditions, just how accurate is the temperature data that’s used in these models? There are certainly problems with the temperature data. Weather station instrumentation changes over the decades. Stations are relocated. There are maintenance and record issues, and very importantly, environmental changes.

The World Meteorological Organisation recognizes this and has set up a system for quality-ranking the location of weather stations, rating them from 1 thru 5. Naturally, meteorological bureaus are rather coy about how good their weather stations are according to WMO rankings. For example, I couldn’t find any data for the Australian Bureau weather station ratings, but I did find this chart for the UK Bureau [4] which seems to be a little more open than our own.



I don’t know how the UK weather station portfolio rates against the rest of the world, but I suspect it would be in the top tier. Station rankings 1 to 3 all have expected environmental errors less than 1 degree. But not even the top sites can measure to a trillionth of a degree. Rankings 4 and 5, 80% of the UK dataset, have errors of 2 and 5 degrees respectively. Basically, they’re junk.

They address this problem by averaging the data. For example, for each 100×100 km grid cell, there might one, ten or no weather stations. They average the good with the bad to come up with a representative temperature for each cell through what’s called a homogenization process, a fancy name for averaging. It’s easier to get Coca-Cola to reveal its secret recipe than getting the bureaus to reveal how this is done, and if a different homogenization algorithm is used, you will get a different temperature, far greater than a trillionth of a degree difference.

It’s clear that the certainty that many climate advocates place on these models and their data is grossly overstated, and more skepticism is required by decision-makers. I believe there should be audits of these models and their data, by statisticians from outside the climate industry. This is unlikely to occur after they saw what happened when McIntire and McKitrick tore apart Professor Michael Mann’s infamous hockey stick graph which was once used as an International Panel for Climate Change logo, but now quietly memory holed.
(This is from an article by Greg Chapman, a former computer modeler. I made a few additions and corrections.)

Wednesday, February 5, 2025

The News

 



The News

Some observations on the news of the last day:


--Biden has a Hollywood agency contract. What possible value does this inept and physically destroyed man bring to the table of any enterprise? Who would want to reward this man in any way? Or maybe it's just the reward of white privilege and male hierarchy.

--Several wild-eyed demonstrators have criticized Musk, crying out "I did not vote for him!" This is true, but what has he done so far? He is only an adviser. But it inconveniently--for them--raises the big question he is investigating, that of unsupervised government legislation by unelected bureaucrats. So their unhappiness with Musk should be generalized to all unbridled bureaucrats.

And...who voted for Jill Biden?


--The USAID kerfluffle has wisely avoided the content of the USAID actions (many quite outlandish and peripheral) and centers on the process of attacking it. How, the critics say, can the program be interfered with by executive action? It should be monitored and shaped by the only lawgiver, Congress. They are concerned over the assumption of executive action outside its purview. This is a lovely meal, rare and delicious, because the USAIDS program was not created by the legislature but rather by JFK's executive order. I am no fan of Trump's assumption of executive orders but I am opposed to all assumptions of power. The controlling of USAID by executive order is almost poetic in its symmetry.


--Gaza. I am unsure what Trump is offering with his grand suggestion the U.S. take over the Gaza Strip. But it is heart-stopping in its clear implication. He is saying, I think, that the current state of management of the Gaza Strip is humanitarianly intolerable. More, a military solution threatens the world and is inconceivable. Israel will not suffer terrorism any longer. And they will not suffer a knockout or take a standing eight-count. Israel will punctuate any defeat that compromises the country with nuclear retaliation. That will mean the end of the Middle East as a functioning entity.

So the current endgame in the Gaza dispute cannot be military. Period. Military positions will not be enhanced through negotiations. Intrangecence is homicidal and suicidal. There is no interest in this country to police crazies anymore. Being the only grownup at the table costs us too much--especially since everyone else at the table has no vision larger than their own provincial myopia. (What is the intent of the madmen in Yemen other than death and destruction and commercial disruption?)

Tuesday, February 4, 2025

Gender Surgery



Just for my personal pride, I would like to state that the father of my children was the first American druid in Diablo to clear the abattoir of zir and ended that season as best in the USA. He was also ranking in Polytopia, and beat Felix himself at the game. I did observe these things with my own eyes. There are other witnesses who can verify this. That is all.--Elon Musk’s ex-wife and Canadian musician Claire Grimes Boucher on Twitter

***
 

President Trump said he wants to “clean out” the Gaza Strip and urged Jordan and Egypt to take in refugees either temporarily or for the long term, a move that has been rejected by Arab countries since the war began.
Sometimes talking off the top of your head is not charming.

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I heard an interview with Iran's 'vice president' He was very reasonable and persuasive. The Middle East problem, however, is beyond reason and persuasion.

***

China prides itself on having invented paper, gunpowder, printing and the compass, but hasn’t been known for making gigantic innovative breakthroughs since then. Yet, the Middle Kingdom has time and again managed to awe the world with its latest creations.

It’s because the Chinese are masters of a strategy that aims to achieve practical results rather than striving for perfection. DeepSeek is the latest example of the “good-enough” strategy.--Wei

***



Gender Surgery

There is little to no evidence that experimental gender procedures improve the mental health of gender-dysphoric children and teens.

The lead researcher of a government-funded study that began in 2015 admitted this week in an interview with the Times that the study did not support the claims of gender activists and explained that she had not released the data out of fear that opponents of gender medicalization would “weaponize” it.

The study, led by Johanna Olson-Kennedy, the medical director of the Center for Transyouth Health and Development at the Children’s Hospital of Los Angeles, is now under investigation by congressional Republicans, National Review reported. Not by Republicans and Democrats. Republicans. So we respond to bias with bias.

Science does not start with understanding, with an assumption to prove; it starts with ignorance and offers a speculation to disprove. One can see the limits here. Aristotle said that, with the right tools, he could cut anything in half. How, for example, can one evaluate a concept that cannot be measured objectively? 

Science is a process, not a belief system. It is incompatible with activism.  

Monday, February 3, 2025

Social Security in the Wild


DeepSeek’s latest AI models showed that shared research allowed a Chinese company to leapfrog better-resourced U.S. teams, writes Christopher Mims. The situation has intensified discussions about AI development: Some U.S. investors argue the technology should be developed in secret for national security purposes, while most engineers who build AI reject that

***

Almost half of Americans, and 65% of Gen Zers, said they plan to drink less alcohol in 2025, according to a survey by research firm NCSolutions.

***

Large firms like Amazon and Microsoft could spend up to $3 trillion by 2030 to build and operate data centers for their businesses, according to BlackRock Investment Institute.

***

Auto stocks suffered notable premarket declines, with GM falling more than 6% premarket. Tesla shares dropped 3% ahead of the open. The auto industry is potentially the most vulnerable sector to the 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports. Global auto stocks slid from Frankfurt to Tokyo.
Constellation Brands fell about 6% premarket.
"The postwar bipartisan consensus that the U.S. prospers by fostering cooperation and integration with allies and neighbors is gone." (wsj)

***




Social Security in the Wild

Social Security is and always has been an unworkable scheme rapidly approaching collapse. Economists point out that something has to give if the program is to avoid catastrophe, and so do the trustees who run Social Security.

This month, Pew Research found "large majorities of Trump (77%) and Harris supporters (83%) opposed any reductions in the Social Security program." In February, a Redfield & Wilton Strategies survey revealed that 66 percent of Americans agree Social Security needs reforming, but "69 percent of respondents across all age groups opposed cutting benefits to those on Social Security, while 52 percent were against raising the retirement age and 44 percent opposed raising taxes on workers' income."

The victims of the scheme are not acting like victims but rather like co-conspirators.

"Thirty-seven percent of nonretirees between the ages of 30 and 49 believe they will get Social Security benefits, while 61% do not," Gallup noted last year.

Until 2010, Americans paid more in Social Security taxes than the program paid out in benefits. The extra money wasn't saved but passed on to be spent by the rest of the federal government in return for IOUs.

That is, there is no "trust fund."

That point passed as the ratio of workers to retirees dropped and seems unlikely to shift back given the country's declining birth rate and aging population. That means the difference between revenues and expenditures is now made up, as it is across the rest of the federal government, by borrowing. As Social Security cashes in those IOUs, the Treasury will borrow an estimated $4.1 trillion plus interest to fund the program between now and 2033. "It's like borrowing money to pay off credit cards," Cato's Boccia notes.

The mendacity and incompetence of the last four years are not enough to explain this. Rather, this is a long-term project. It's as if three blind men and an elephant are piloting the ship of state.

Sunday, February 2, 2025

Sunday/Simeon



Ran, an advanced autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) equipped with cutting-edge sensors and technology designed to gather and analyze data in extreme underwater environments, has disappeared while exploring the huge Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica and is presumed lost.

***

Vogue has not had a Republican First Lady on its cover in 130 years.

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Sunday/Simeon

The Feast of the Presentation is one of the oldest feasts of the Christian church. Also known as Candlemas, it is a Christian Holy Day commemorating the presentation of Jesus at the Temple. It is based upon the account in Luke 2:22–40, true to an old Mosaic law where the mother is "purified" 40 days after the birth of a boy, 80 days after a girl, and returns to society after seclusion. Following Leviticus 12: a woman was to be purified by presenting lamb as a burnt offering, and either a young pigeon or dove as a sin offering, 33 days after a boy's circumcision. At the same time, a boy was "bought back" from God, "ransomed," a reference to the deaths of the firstborns in the escape from Egypt.

While it is customary for Christians in some countries to remove their Christmas decorations on Twelfth Night (Epiphany Eve), those in other Christian countries historically remove them on Candlemas.

I traditionally remove my Christmas decorations around the 4th of July

The blessed candles symbolize Jesus Christ, who refers to Himself as the Light of the World. It is interesting--and usually ignored by the rabbis--that Isiah, who references this "light of the world" image earlier, does it in terms of the Gentiles.

The family encounters a prophet, Simeon, who has been waiting his whole life for this moment.

Simeon offers a prophecy, said to be the first since Malachi in 420 B.C. (There is an argument that Elizabeth, Mary's cousin, prophesied first.) At any rate, it is a historic event. Part of what he says is often overlooked: "...for my eyes have seen the salvation which you have made ready in the sight of the nations; a light of revelation for the gentiles and glory for your people Israel." This is a startling line that includes the Gentiles in Christ's plan long before Paul.

But it is even older. Isaiah 60:1-3 says:
Arise, shine; for thy light is come, and the glory of the Lord is risen upon thee.
2 For, behold, the darkness shall cover the earth, and gross darkness the people: but the Lord shall arise upon thee, and his glory shall be seen upon thee.
3 And the Gentiles shall come to thy light, and kings to the brightness of thy rising.

This scene is the source of the T.S. Eliot poem, "The Song of Simeon," a poem surprisingly sad and ominous compared to the source's jubilation.

A Song for Simeon

Lord, the Roman hyacinths are blooming in bowls and
The winter sun creeps by the snow hills;
The stubborn season has made stand.
My life is light, waiting for the death wind,
Like a feather on the back of my hand.
Dust in sunlight and memory in corners
Wait for the wind that chills towards the dead land.

Grant us thy peace.
I have walked many years in this city,
Kept faith and fast, provided for the poor,
Have taken and given honour and ease.
There went never any rejected from my door.
Who shall remember my house, where shall live my children’s children
When the time of sorrow is come?
They will take to the goat’s path, and the fox’s home,
Fleeing from the foreign faces and the foreign swords.

Before the time of cords and scourges and lamentation
Grant us thy peace.
Before the stations of the mountain of desolation,
Before the certain hour of maternal sorrow,
Now at this birth season of decease,
Let the Infant, the still unspeaking and unspoken Word,
Grant Israel’s consolation
To one who has eighty years and no tomorrow.

According to thy word,
They shall praise Thee and suffer in every generation
With glory and derision,
Light upon light, mounting the saints’ stair.
Not for me the martyrdom, the ecstasy of thought and prayer,
Not for me the ultimate vision.
Grant me thy peace.
(And a sword shall pierce thy heart,
Thine also).
I am tired with my own life and the lives of those after me,
I am dying in my own death and the deaths of those after me.
Let thy servant depart,
Having seen thy salvation.

Saturday, February 1, 2025

Sat Stats



This week a Reuters/Ipsos poll finds that 61% of U.S. adults support “downsizing the federal government,” while just 35% oppose it.
In the latest Economist/YouGov poll, respondents who favor “requiring all federal workers to work in person rather than remotely” outnumber those who oppose the idea by 11 percentage points—48% to 37%.

***

Ryan Michael English was arrested at the Capitol on Monday. English, who surrendered to officers, told them he had traveled to Washington intending to kill Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent or Speaker Mike Johnson—or burn down the Heritage Foundation. He was armed with Molotov cocktails.


***

William Stanley Jevons was a 19th century economist who observed that as steam engines became more efficient, overall coal use increased. His name comes up whenever improved efficiency drives resource consumption higher.
“As AI gets more efficient and accessible, we will see its use skyrocket,” Microsoft's Nadella said as DeepSeek's efficiency revealed.


***.

Six more current or former tennis players linked to a match-fixing syndicate in Belgium were given suspensions of varying lengths — one was barred for 15 years — and fined, the International Tennis Integrity Agency said Friday.
That brings the total to about 30 players punished for their connections to the syndicate run by Grigor Sargsyan, who was previously given a five-year custodial sentence.

***

A British-Israeli woman who was held hostage by Hamas in Gaza for 15 months says she was detained for some time at United Nations facilities.

***



Sat Stats
 

“The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”--
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the United Nations body for assessing the science related to climate change.

***

The TSA intercepted on average 18.2 firearms per day at security checkpoints in 2024. 94% were loaded.


***.

The pay gap between a typical college-educated man ($95,000) and male teachers ($65,000) in 2023 was $30,000, according to a WSJ analysis of census data stored at the University of Minnesota. The comparable gap for women was $12,000. T
eachers say pay is one of the reasons for men’s limited interest in teaching, leaving boys with few male role models in the classroom.

***

O'Leary says r
egulations are 40% of the cost of house building.

***

64,000 girls participated in high-school wrestling last year, up from less than 10,000 in 2014.

***

The Department of the Interior manages roughly one-fifth of the United States' lands and waters. 20% of the nation.

***

As of recent data, to be considered among the top 1% of wealthy Americans, you would need a net worth of approximately $11.6 million. This figure starkly contrasts with the national average, highlighting the significant wealth disparity in the United States.

Moving down the percentiles, the top 2% threshold is about $2.7 million, while the top 5% begins at $1.17 million. The top 10% of wealthy Americans have a net worth starting at $970,900.

***

Median vs. mean:
As of 2022, the median net worth of all families in the United States was $192,900. This figure represents the “middle” point, where half of all families have a higher net worth and half have a lower net worth. It starkly contrasts the wealth thresholds discussed earlier, highlighting the significant wealth gap in the country.

The mean (average) net worth, on the other hand, was much higher at $1,063,700. The substantial difference between the median and mean net worth underscores the impact of high-net-worth individuals on the overall average, pulling it significantly higher than the median.

***

Nvidia shares tumbled 17% Monday, the biggest drop since March 2020, erasing $589 billion from the company’s market capitalization. That eclipsed the previous record — a 9% drop in September that wiped out about $279 billion in value — and was the biggest in US stock-market history.

***

Fully electric vehicles accounted for 96% of all new cars sold in Norway in the first few weeks of 2025, according to the Norwegian Public Roads Administration.

Last year, nine out of ten new cars sold were fully electric,

Many gasoline and diesel cars are still on Norway's roads.
At the national level, about 28% of owned cars are fully electric, and in Oslo, the figure is over 40%.

***

The reading skills of American students are deteriorating further, according to new national test scores that show no improvement in a yearslong slide.











Friday, January 31, 2025

Subsidizing Error

Anthropic CEO Amodei said he was relatively confident that AI technology would surpass human intelligence in the next two or three years.

***

Gabbard, Trump’s national intelligence pick, was raised in a religious group tied to a firm suspected of running an international scam. A lot of smear/counter-smear at work in the hearings yesterday.

***


The CIA has concluded that the Covid-19 pandemic most likely arose from a laboratory leak, joining the FBI and Energy Department in identifying a mishap in Wuhan, China, as the virus’s probable source.

***


Subsidizing Error

Some numbers from the alternative energy distortion dance.

For decades, the federal government has propped up energy sources and technologies through subsidies and tax credits. From 2010 to 2023, the cumulative cost of these policies was $76 billion and $65 billion for solar and wind power, respectively, and $33 billion for oil and gas. Nuclear energy, meanwhile, received about $26 billion.

Not only have these subsidies been costly for taxpayers, but they have also proven ineffective in changing the energy landscape. Despite receiving more than twice the amount of money as fossil fuels and nuclear power since 2010, wind and solar only generated 10.2 percent and 3.9 percent of the country's electricity in 2023, respectively.

The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) supercharged subsidies for wind and solar energy while introducing new technology-specific tax credits for green hydrogen, nuclear power, sustainable aviation fuel, and more. Additionally, it established a $7,500 tax credit for electric vehicles (E.V.s) assembled in North America. Households earning less than $300,000 and individuals earning less than $150,000 are also eligible for the one-time clean vehicle credit.

Initially projected at $369 billion over the next 10 years, these subsidies are now expected to add over $1 trillion to the federal deficit through 2032. And, with some provisions lacking an expiration date, this figure could feasibly reach $3 trillion.

Billions of dollars worth of solar and wind provisions have gone to companies like NextEra Energy—the world's largest utility company—and Chinese solar manufacturers.

Tax credits for EVs have been mostly cashed in by wealthy consumers who would have bought an electric vehicle without the credit anyway. A study by the National Bureau of Economic Research estimates that every E.V. sold because of the IRA's credit costs taxpayers $32,000. $32,000.

Subsidies for wind and solar energy can cost up to $260 and $2,100, respectively, for every ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) reduced. For context, reforestation and tree planting cost about $10 per ton of CO2 reduced.

Just because a project is heartfelt and expensive does not mean it has value.

Thursday, January 30, 2025

Questions

Questions

Netflix has a bio of Andy Warhol, very creepy but with a couple of interesting observations. Warhol seemed to be in a constant state of remaking, refashioning himself and what he saw. And his Greek Orthodox art background might explain his preoccupation with two-dimensional paintings.

***

Doug Burgum will be head of the Department of Interior and is Trump's proposed head of the newly created National Energy Council — a body that will oversee regulatory processes across government agencies where he'd have considerable power to push fossil fuel extraction.

***

Re Drones on the East Coast: Was anyone reassured by Mayorkis' reassurances? Is there any reason why Trump's simple and benign explanation was not issued earlier? Is alarming the electorate an objective?

***

The Thompson murder wasn't followed by a clamor for gun control. Rare.

***

17 states in the U.S. require physician participation in euthanasia, and 18 allow it.
Is it a good idea to have physicians involved? Should they participate in executions?

***

The COP29 climate change meeting debated giving 2.4.trillion dollars to undeveloped nations over 6 years as a sort of mea culpa tax because the developed countries had an accelerated growth out of poverty over the last 200 years fueled by petroleum and the poor nations, strangled by corruption and tyranny and locked in charcoal power, did not.

Would the U.S. with its 36 trillion dollar debt qualify for assistance?

***

The European tax rate is 34%. It is 17% in Africa.

***

There are 3.5 million Muslims in Europe. If 10% are radicalized, they would outnumber the entire European military.

***

When did illegal immigrants become "workers?"
What does their occupation have to do with their illegal entrance to the country?

***

On Thursday, Karoline Leavitt’s failed congressional campaign amended every FEC filing it had ever made to reveal that she failed to disclose hundreds of thousands of dollars in excessive contributions that she never paid back, in violation of the law.







Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Malice as Policy

A “disaster discount” may be creeping into the U.S. housing market. According to real-estate brokerage Redfin, homes in areas that are vulnerable to floods, wildfires, and extreme heat are rising in value at a slower rate than low-risk properties.

***

Trump has suggested that one way to reconstruct the Gaza enclave would be to move the Palestinians from Gaza to Jordan and Egypt. That resettlement “could be temporary or long term.”

That marks a dramatic shift in U.S. policy toward Palestinians. No recent White House has suggested the “long-term” departure of Palestinians from Gaza, which most U.S. presidents have seen as a part of an eventual Palestinian state.

Talking off the top of your head is not always refreshing.

***

Barstool's David Portnoy bet $1 million on the Bills to win the Super Bowl.

***

A few Biden programs under review: $50 million for contraceptives in Gaza, funding for a transgender opera in Columbia, and funding Peruvian transgender comic books.

***


Malice as Policy

Underwater cables are used mostly for internet connection. There are 597 cable systems and 1,712 landings currently active or under construction.  

Worldwide, about 200 undersea cables have been cut or disrupted annually as of 2024, due most frequently to unintentional damage from fishing equipment or the anchors of ships.

But the Europeans believe Russian and Chinese ships are purposefully disrupting underwater cables.

NATO reacted after another underwater data cable was severed in the Baltic Sea. In the alliance’s first coordinated response to the suspected sabotage campaign against critical infrastructure, NATO vessels raced to the site of a damaged fiber-optic cable in Swedish waters on Sunday morning, where a trio of ships carrying Russian cargo, including one recently sanctioned by the U.S., were nearby.

This raises significant questions about international relations. How should nations ostensibly at peace behave? All nations have wide-ranging interfaces, from trade to travel to economics, that overlap and blend, nation to nation. What is one to think about nations that gratuitously interfere with the normal, peaceful, behavior of other nations?

This is more than the usual sophomoric behavior common in American politics. This is equivalent to the well-poisoner, the malignant, destructive disrupter of benign life.

What is it that rewards these people for such behavior? And how should peaceful nations victimized by such economic mutilation respond? Most importantly, how do sensible people living their lives regard their potential relationship with a known well-poisoner? 


Tuesday, January 28, 2025

The Young Men’s Lyceum

 


China controls 40% of the world’s commercial shipbuilding capacity. The US has just 0.5%.

***

An Indiana man who was just recently pardoned by President Donald Trump for his role in the January 6 Capitol riot was shot and killed by a police officer during a traffic stop on Sunday.


***

More people use Marijuana daily or nearly daily than those who drink alcohol.

***

Is it true that the president of Columbia, where the prison system is world famous for its cruelty, objects to the plane trip of Columbia's illegals as inhumane?

***


The Young Men’s Lyceum

On this day in 1838, Abraham Lincoln delivered an address to the Young Men’s Lyceum, a debating society in Springfield, Illinois, that had originated in Massachusetts and grown spontaneously over the years as a national forum of discussion and debate on interesting topics. Lincoln's speech--when he was a member of the Illinois House of Representatives but still only 28-- was given in the wake of growing mob violence, including the 1837 killing of abolitionist printer Elijah Lovejoy by a pro-slavery mob.

It remains a staunch support of the rule of law--even in the face of bad law--and the threat that individual passion holds for the stability of the state, particularly when the individual feels estranged from his government.

It also contains a very curious insight into the nature of ambition, in the particular American circumstance. The ambitious men, he says, seeing that the great American democracy has been conceived and established, will seek fame along the only other path available to him: destroying it. "Towering genius distains a beaten path."

Here is an excerpt:

As a subject for the remarks of the evening, the perpetuation of our political institutions, is selected. . . . We find ourselves under the government of a system of political institutions, conducing more essentially to the ends of civil and religious liberty, than any of which the history of former times tells us. We, when mounting the stage of existence, found ourselves the legal inheritors of these fundamental blessings. We toiled not in the acquirement or establishment of them—they are a legacy bequeathed us, by a once hardy, brave, and patriotic, but now lamented and departed race of ancestors. Their’s was the task (and nobly they performed it) to possess themselves, and through themselves, us, of this goodly land; and to uprear upon its hills and its valleys, a political edifice of liberty and equal rights; ‘tis ours only, to transmit these, the former, unprofaned by the foot of an invader . . . This task of gratitude to our fathers, justice to ourselves, duty to posterity, and love for our species in general, all imperatively require us faithfully to perform.

How then shall we perform it?—At what point shall we expect the approach of danger? By what means shall we fortify against it?—Shall we expect some transatlantic military giant, to step the Ocean, and crush us at a blow? Never!—All the armies of Europe, Asia and Africa combined, with all the treasure of the earth (our own excepted) in their military chest; with a Buonaparte for a commander, could not by force, take a drink from the Ohio, or make a track on the Blue Ridge, in a trial of a thousand years.

At what point then is the approach of danger to be expected? I answer, if it ever reach us, it must spring up amongst us. It cannot come from abroad. If destruction be our lot, we must ourselves be its author and finisher. As a nation of freemen, we must live through all time, or die by suicide.

I hope I am over wary; but if I am not, there is, even now, something of ill-omen, amongst us. I mean the increasing disregard for law which pervades the country; the growing disposition to substitute the wild and furious passions, in lieu of the sober judgment of Courts . . . . Accounts of outrages committed by mobs, form the every-day news of the times. They have pervaded the country, from New England to Louisiana . . . . Whatever, then, their cause may be, it is common to the whole country. . . .

But you are, perhaps, ready to ask, “What has this to do with the perpetuation of our political institutions?” . . . When men take it in their heads to day, to hang gamblers, or burn murderers, they should recollect, that, in the confusion usually attending such transactions, they will be as likely to hang or burn someone who is neither a gambler nor a murderer as one who is; and that, acting upon the example they set, the mob of tomorrow, may, and probably will, hang or burn some of them by the very same mistake. . . . [A]nd thus it goes on, step by step, till all the walls erected for the defense of the persons and property of individuals, are trodden down, and disregarded. But all this even, is not the full extent of the evil. By such examples, by instances of the perpetrators of such acts going unpunished, the lawless in spirit, are encouraged to become lawless in practice; and having been used to no restraint, but dread of punishment, they thus become, absolutely unrestrained. Having ever regarded Government as their deadliest bane, they make a jubilee of the suspension of its operations; and pray for nothing so much, as its total annihilation. While, on the other hand, good men, men who love tranquility, who desire to abide by the laws, and enjoy their benefits, who would gladly spill their blood in the defense of their country; seeing their property destroyed; their families insulted, and their lives endangered; their persons injured; and seeing nothing in prospect that forebodes a change for the better; become tired of, and disgusted with, a Government that offers them no protection; and are not much averse to a change in which they imagine they have nothing to lose. Thus, then, by the operation of this mobocractic spirit, which all must admit, is now abroad in the land, the strongest bulwark of any Government, and particularly of those constituted like ours, may effectually be broken down and destroyed—I mean the attachment of the People. . . .

The question recurs, “how shall we fortify against it?” The answer is simple. Let every American, every lover of liberty, every well-wisher to his posterity, swear by the blood of the Revolution, never to violate in the least particular, the laws of the country; and never to tolerate their violation by others. As the patriots of seventy-six did to the support of the Declaration of Independence, so to the support of the Constitution and Laws, let every American pledge his life, his property, and his sacred honor;—let every man remember that to violate the law, is to trample on the blood of his father, and to tear the character of his own, and his children’s liberty. Let reverence for the laws, be breathed by every American mother, to the lisping babe, that prattles on her lap—let it be taught in schools, in seminaries, and in colleges; let it be written in Primers, spelling books, and in Almanacs;—let it be preached from the pulpit, proclaimed in legislative halls, and enforced in courts of justice. And, in short, let it become the political religion of the nation; and let the old and the young, the rich and the poor, the grave and the gay, of all sexes and tongues, and colors and conditions, sacrifice unceasingly upon its altars. . . .

When I so pressingly urge a strict observance of all the laws, let me not be understood as saying there are no bad laws, nor that grievances may not arise, for the redress of which, no legal provisions have been made.—I mean to say no such thing. But I do mean to say, that, although bad laws, if they exist, should be repealed as soon as possible, still while they continue in force, for the sake of example, they should be religiously observed. So also in unprovided cases. If such arise, let proper legal provisions be made for them with the least possible delay; but, till then, let them, if not too intolerable, be borne with.

There is no grievance that is a fit object of redress by mob law. . . .

But, it may be asked, why suppose danger to our political institutions? Have we not preserved them for more than fifty years? And why may we not for fifty times as long? . . .

That our government should have been maintained in its original form from its establishment until now, is not much to be wondered at. It had many props to support it through that period, which now are decayed, and crumbled away. Through that period, it was felt by all, to be an undecided experiment; now, it is understood to be a successful one.—Then, all that sought celebrity and fame, and distinction, expected to find them in the success of that experiment. . . . If they succeeded, they were to be immortalized . . . . If they failed, they were to be called knaves and fools, and fanatics for a fleeting hour; then to sink and be forgotten. They succeeded. The experiment is successful; and thousands have won their deathless names in making it so. But the game is caught; and I believe it is true, that with the catching, end the pleasures of the chase. This field of glory is harvested, and the crop is already appropriated. But new reapers will arise, and they, too, will seek a field. It is to deny, what the history of the world tells us is true, to suppose that men of ambition and talents will not continue to spring up amongst us. And, when they do, they will as naturally seek the gratification of their ruling passion, as others have so done before them. The question then, is, can that gratification be found in supporting and maintaining an edifice that has been erected by others? Most certainly it cannot. Many great and good men sufficiently qualified for any task they should undertake, may ever be found, whose ambition would inspire to nothing beyond a seat in Congress, a gubernatorial or a presidential chair; but such belong not to the family of the lion, or the tribe of the eagle. What! think you these places would satisfy an Alexander, a Caesar, or a Napoleon?—Never! Towering genius distains a beaten path. . . . Is it unreasonable then to expect, that some man possessed of the loftiest genius, coupled with ambition sufficient to push it to its utmost stretch, will at some time, spring up among us? And when such a one does, it will require the people to be united with each other, attached to the government and laws, and generally intelligent, to successfully frustrate his designs.

Distinction will be his paramount object, and although he would as willingly, perhaps more so, acquire it by doing good as harm; yet, that opportunity being past, and nothing left to be done in the way of building up, he would set boldly to the task of pulling down. . . .

Another reason which once was; but which, to the same extent, is now no more, has done much in maintaining our institutions thus far. I mean the powerful influence which the interesting scenes of the revolution had upon the passions of the people as distinguished from their judgment. . . .

I do not mean to say, that the scenes of the revolution are now or ever will be entirely forgotten; but that like every thing else, they must fade upon the memory of the world, and grow more and more dim by the lapse of time. . . .

They were the pillars of the temple of liberty; and now, that they have crumbled away, that temple must fall, unless we, their descendants, supply their places with other pillars, hewn from the solid quarry of sober reason. Passion has helped us; but can do so no more. It will in future be our enemy. Reason, cold, calculating, unimpassioned reason, must furnish all the materials for our future support and defence.—Let those materials be moulded into general intelligence, sound morality, and in particular, a reverence for the constitution and laws: and, that we improved to the last; that we remained free to the last; that we revered his name to the last; that, during his long sleep, we permitted no hostile foot to pass over or desecrate his resting place; shall be that which to learn the last trump shall awaken our WASHINGTON.

Upon these let the proud fabric of freedom rest, as the rock of its basis; and as truly as has been said of the only greater institution, “the gates of hell shall not prevail against it.”

Monday, January 27, 2025

The Ambitions of a Majority


Bianca Censori has a master's in architecture?

***

The prospect of AI automating administrative tasks is attracting venture capitalists to mundane businesses like accounting and property management.

***

If Washington did not have the turnovers, would they have won?

***


The Ambitions of a Majority

Minnesota governor Tim Walz reiterated his support for abolishing the Electoral College and switching to a national popular vote as the sole means of electing presidents and their running mates.

While campaigning for Vice President Kamala Harris on the West Coast, Walz suggested at two different fundraisers that he would prefer to focus on winning votes across the country rather than concentrate on key battleground states that could sway the upcoming presidential election as they have done in the past.

“I think all of us know the Electoral College needs to go. We need, we need national popular vote, but that’s not the world we live in,” the Democratic vice-presidential nominee told donors in California governor Gavin Newsom’s Sacramento home.

Last year, the governor signed legislation that added Minnesota as the seventeenth state to the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. The initiative commits participating states to award their electoral votes to presidential candidates who win the popular vote and takes effect once states representing 270 electoral votes have joined the compact.

The Harris campaign said Walz’s call for abolishing the Electoral College is not an official campaign position.

Despite the campaign’s statement, Harris has said she’s “open to the discussion” of abolishing the Electoral College.

“There’s no question that the popular vote has been diminished in terms of making the final decision about who’s the president of the United States and we need to deal with that, so I’m open to the discussion,” she told late-night show host Jimmy Kimmel in 2019 when she was running for president.

Though it appears a radical position, a recent Pew Research Center survey found 63 percent of Americans supporting the move away from the Electoral College toward a popular vote system. By contrast, 35 percent said they would favor retaining the Electoral College.

The issue is further divided along partisan lines. Eighty percent of Democrats prefer to see the Electoral College changed, while Republicans are more closely divided on the issue: 46 percent say it should be changed compared to 53 percent backing the current electoral system.

Neither Waltz nor Harris seem to be incisive political thinkers. As such, they may well represent the electorate they hope to lead. One might argue that such a shift in opinion betrays a growing misunderstanding of the very basics of the country's republic nature, with all the anti-democracy caution it implies. But it may not mean it can be corrected by education; it may mean the electorate is changing. As is the electorate's vision of the nation.

Sunday, January 26, 2025

Sunday/Luke's First



Nearly one in nine U.S. employees is directly employed by the government.

***

"String theory is fashion, quantum physics is faith, and cosmic inflation is fantasy."--Roger Penrose

***


Sunday/Luke's First

After mentioning that many descriptions of the life of Christ have been circulated, Luke writes to the "most excellent Theophilus" and explains his plans:

Since many have undertaken to compile a narrative of the events
that have been fulfilled among us,
just as those who were eyewitnesses from the beginning
and ministers of the word have handed them down to us,
I too have decided,
after investigating everything accurately anew,
to write it down in an orderly sequence for you,
most excellent Theophilus,
so that you may realize the certainty of the teachings
you have received.

His first story is the famous speech in the temple in which Christ reads a prophecy by Isiah predicting God's sending a minister to man, ending in the electrifying "Today this Scripture passage is fulfilled in your hearing."

Christ's claims caused a riot in the temple. But his claims did not create the gospel, the actions of his followers did. The lynchpin of Christ's life is not what he did or said but his disciples' belief in what he did and said. Christ's supernatural claims became significant not in his followers' hearts but in their acts. Christ created impossible milestones for his earthly life. His followers would have stayed with him--even died, as they all did--only if those impossible milestones were reached.

It is man's belief that creates the truth of Christ's story. Christ's story depends upon man.

Friday, January 24, 2025

Preconceived Science


80% of military volunteers have a family member who served. Between 2019 and 2024, the percentage of conservative veterans who would advise a young family member to join the military declined from 88% to 53%.

***

Trump has repeatedly re-upped the idea that broadcast licenses should be contingent on whether they are used to air content that offends him. Last November, for instance, he complained that MSNBC “uses FREE government approved airwaves” to execute “a 24-hour hit job on Donald J. Trump and the Republican Party for purposes of ELECTION INTERFERENCE.” He declared that “our so-called ‘government’ should come down hard on them and make them pay for their illegal political activity.”--Sullum

***

Did anyone hear anything from Harris about climate change?


***

The European Union’s plan to tax imports based on emissions is key to its climate strategy. But the bloc’s biggest party now wants to delay the tax, citing the economic impact, OPIS reports. The threat of U.S. tariffs adds to the uncertainty.


***



Preconceived Science

A sizable study shows there is little to no evidence that experimental gender procedures improve the mental health of gender-dysphoric children and teens.

The lead researcher of the government-funded study that began in 2015 admitted this week in an interview with the Times that the study did not support the claims of gender activists and explained that she had not released the data out of fear that opponents of gender medicalization would “weaponize” it. 

That is, the study's head did not release the results because the results displeased her.

The study, led by Johanna Olson-Kennedy, the Center for Transyouth Health and Development medical director at the Children’s Hospital of Los Angeles, is now under investigation. But it is difficult to imagine what more is to be learned. The principals of the study did not like the study's conclusions so they suppressed it. What more than the realization of the insincerity and dishonesty of researchers do we need?

Sat Stats


‘I don’t know if that’s a good president, but that right there, I am sure, is a great man.'--Dave Chappell on Jimmy Carter

***"

Madison Keys upset two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus 6-3, 2-6, 7-5 in the Australian Open final on Saturday night

***

America produces energy cleaner, smarter, and safer than anywhere in the world. When energy production is restricted in America, it doesn't reduce demand, it just shifts production to countries like Russia, Venezuela, and Iran – whose autocratic leaders don't care about the environment."--Burgum

***


Sat Stats

A fifth of adults account for an estimated 90% of alcohol sales volumes in the U.S.

*
Of the 20 countries with the highest murder rates, 12 are Caribbean islands. Only one country is more dangerous than Haiti. Puerto Rico.

*

Former Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck has transferred to the Miami Hurricanes and will earn $4 million in 2025. Beck opted to transfer after initially planning to enter the NFL draft. He will earn more than Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix next fall 

*

Jannik Sinner (93.6%, 44-3) has surpassed Bjorn Borg (91.9%) with the highest win percentage at ATP level while ranked ATP #1 since the rankings were first published in 1973.

*

The average number of days off taken by people who work for companies with unlimited paid time off is 16. A typical worker with finite vacation time takes 14 days off.

*

From a WSJ editorial: If hard-line diplomacy doesn’t work, Trump will likely need to let Israel bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities

*

China makes up 60% of the world's electric car sales.

*


Research suggests there has been a 50-fold rise in children who think they are the wrong gender in just 10 years. Analysis of GP records suggests there were 10,000 diagnoses of gender dysphoria in England in 2021 – up from fewer than 200 cases in 2011. The University of York study shows a sharp rise in the number of girls with such concerns, with twice as many cases as in boys.

*

Streaming giant Netflix added a record 18.9 million new subscribers during the fourth quarter. That was nearly double the number Wall Street expected

*

Regulation costs over the Biden years were estimated at 1.9 TRILLION dollars.


*

Fertility worldwide:

“Falling fertility rates are propelling major economies toward population collapse in this century,” McKinsey predicted.

Some of those economies are on track to see 20%-50% population declines by 2100, requiring big changes to societies and governments operate.

But if the demographic trends continue, younger people will endure slower economic growth while supporting bigger cohorts of retirees, eroding the historic flows of generational wealth, the study warned.

China’s population is projected to crash 55% by the turn of the next century. Italy’s will sink 41%, and Brazil’s will drop 23%.

However, with the help of immigration, the U.S. should see an increase of 23%.

The study noted that the world’s support ratio was 9.4 in 1997, or more than nine working-age people supporting one older person. The ratio is down to 6.5 today and will drop to just 3.9 by 2050.

Thursday, January 23, 2025

Questions


'Did they suspect that Covid spawned from US taxpayer-funded research, or an adjacent Chinese military programme?
Why did we fund the work of EcoHealth Alliance, which sent researchers into remote Chinese caves to extract novel coronaviruses? Is “gain of function” research a byword for a bioweapons programme? And how did our government stop the spread of such questions on social media?'-questions raised by Thiel in a highly criticized FT op-ed.

***


Colorado’s highest court on Tuesday ruled that five elderly elephants don’t have legal standing to sue to leave a local zoo because they’re not human.

***

Holy Philadelphia Elgses:
During defense secretary nominee Pete Hegseth's confirmation hearing, a senator questioning Hegseth employed a prop sign that misspelled the word military as "miltary."

***

  


Questions


John Locke, argued that every human life had its own rationale, none being created for the use of another. David Hume, wrote that all men are nearly equal “in their mental power and faculties, till cultivated by education.”

***

The amount of land owned by the National Park Service alone is larger than Italy. The land owned by the Fish and Wildlife Service is larger than Germany. The land owned by the Forest Service is larger than Britain and Spain combined. The land owned by the Bureau of Land Management is larger than Japan, North Korea, South Korea, and the Philippines combined.
Why?

***

In July Mr. Biden told us that “extreme heat is the number one weather-related killer in the United States.” Data actually show that cold kills far more.

***

South Koreans now overwhelmingly support developing nuclear weapons, with 73% in favor

***

Can the condition of man be resolved by force or circumstance?

***

What would happen if your mind "would chew through everything — through our usual self-justifications, through the conceit of inevitability that attaches to our habits and customs, through the thin scaffolding of reason that holds life together. Such a mind would become, as Ulrich once describes himself, “a machine for the relentless devaluation of life”. The only way to avoid this result is to give the mind a task worthy of its powers, by presenting it with the sorts of questions one can, without shyness, think hard about. But that entails some hope of arriving at answers. This is one way to think about writing on philosophy: a safe space for the unfettered operation of mind."--Agnes Callard writing on The Man Without Qualities

***

The James Beard Award semifinalists have been announced, with three Pittsburgh chefs — all with numerous past nods — and one Pittsburgh restaurant contender in this edition.
In Pittsburgh, the Nordic seafood restaurant Fet-Fisk is a semifinalist in the best new restaurant category.
Apteka, in Bloomfield, and Chengdu Gourmet, in Squirrel Hill, are entrees for the best chef, Mid-Atlantic award.


Wednesday, January 22, 2025

A Titanic Problem

Software used by British submariners was subcontracted to developers in Belarus.

***

Pope Francis has branded Donald Trump's plans to impose mass deportation of immigrants as 'a disgrace' and urged the incoming president to lead a society with 'no room for hatred'.

Francis, who nearly a decade ago called Trump 'not Christian' for wanting to build a wall along the US-Mexico border, was asked about Trump's deportation pledges during a Sunday appearance on the popular Italian talk show, Che Tempo Che Fa.

'If true, this will be a disgrace, because it makes the poor wretches who have nothing pay the bill' for the problem, the Pope said. 'This won't do! This is not the way to solve things. That's not how things are resolved.'

***


A Titanic Problem

Britain now has the highest industrial energy prices in the world, has fallen out of the world’s top ten manufacturers, faces power rationing, and is spending over £3bn a year to import electricity.

Last month, the country’s last big coal-fired power station closed and nuclear generation remains in consistent decline. The bill for these imports runs at £250m a month and regularly represents 20 percent of the total electricity supply. Forecasts show imports could soon supply up to a third of British needs by 2030 and beyond.

Ministers boast of Britain’s falling emissions from the energy sector; they won’t tell you about the overseas emissions connected with the electricity we now import but don’t appear on UK statistics; they claim they cannot measure it, so they ignore it. Britain is offshoring its emissions, hiding them, and hoping people won’t notice.

The consequences are stark, ranging from the loss of British competitiveness, rising fuel poverty, chronic economic underperformance, and becoming dangerously vulnerable to future energy crises.

Between 2004 and 2020, before the war in Ukraine, the industrial price of energy in Britain tripled in nominal terms (153%) or doubled relative to consumer prices. Electricity prices have doubled since 2019. This has led to a huge slice of Britain’s manufacturing base already choosing to relocate overseas in search of lower costs. Since 2010 over 200,000 manufacturing jobs have been lost; as a share of GDP, manufacturing has been cut in half since the 1990s.

Per capita electricity generation in the UK is now just two-thirds of what it is in France and barely over a third of the US. Britain now mirrors developing countries like South Africa (which endures rolling blackouts) more than key competitors like Germany. British businesses pay almost four times as much as American firms for each unit of power and households pay three times as much.

Sixty years ago Britain had 21 nuclear reactors, compared to 19 combined in the rest of the world. France picked up global leadership in this sector, which now generates 70 percent of its power from its nuclear stations and decarbonizes while retaining competitive power prices. France built no less than 40 nuclear plants between 1965 and 1985 and is now refurbishing and replacing older ones. Today, British firms pay on average sixty percent more for electricity than French ones.

All this is a microcosm of decline.

Tuesday, January 21, 2025

Early Man in the Americas

Maybe every other American movie shouldn't be based on a comic book. Other countries will think Americans live in an infantile fantasy land where reality is whatever we say it is and every problem can be solved with violence. -Bill Maher, comedian, actor, and writer

***

A bird dog that can't point birds will point flies. So Biden restlessly searches for significant acts. 
Biden has pardoned Leonard Peltier who was convicted of murdering two FBI agents.
"This last-second, disgraceful act by then-President Biden, which does not change Peltier's guilt but does release him from prison, is cowardly and lacks accountability," Natalie Bara, president of the FBI Agents Association, said in a statement Monday. "It is a cruel betrayal to the families and colleagues of these fallen Agents and is a slap in the face of law enforcement."

***

Underwood underscored it: there were serious women at the Trump thing.

***


Early Man in the Americas

Clovis is a site in New Mexico, where archaeologists in the 1920s and 1930s found distinctive projectile points and other artifacts between 11,000 and 13,000 years ago.

This date coincides with the end of the last Ice Age, a time when an ice-free corridor likely emerged in North America — giving rise to the theory of how early humans moved into the continent after crossing the Bering land bridge from Asia.

And because the fossil record shows the widespread decline of American megafauna starting around the same time — with North America losing 70% of its large mammals, and South America losing more than 80% — many researchers surmised that humans' arrival led to mass extinctions.

J'accuse.

But evidence from older sites keeps coming to light.

The first site, widely accepted as older than Clovis, was in Monte Verde, Chile.

Buried beneath a peat bog,14,500-year-old stone tools, pieces of preserved animal hides, and various edible and medicinal plants were discovered.

Among the oldest sites is Arroyo del Vizcaíno in Uruguay, where researchers are studying apparent human-made “cut marks” on animal bones dated to around 30,000 years ago.

At New Mexico’s White Sands, researchers have uncovered human footprints dating between 21,000 and 23,000 years ago, but no evidence of tools.

So man came to North America earlier than the Great Extinction, too early to be blamed for it. However, the superficial information fits the superficial narrative, the preconception of man as a destructive force in nature. So they keep it.