Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Cab Thoughts 2/12/14

“Among the public men of democracies, there are hardly any but men of great disinterestedness or extreme mediocrity who seek to oppose the centralization of government; the former are scarce, the latter powerless.”--Alexis de Tocqueville
 
 
 
El-Erian, who had been widely seen as the heir apparent to William Gross at PIMCO, will leave the investment firm in mid-March.
 
Some guy named Rhawm Joseph is suing NASA over the amount of investigating they are doing on Mars. He feels they are overlooking some things. "Popular Science" says he is "a selfdescribed scientist." "Selfdescribed" might be a moniker for many in the present and future.
 
The head of PNC finances, Stuart Hoffman, spoke recently and was very complimentary towards Bernacki and Yellen. He is also upbeat about the financial year and has optimism about how the debt would be handled.  
 
From the Mars One website: Mars One is a not-for-profit foundation that will establish a permanent human settlement on Mars. Human settlement on Mars is possible today with existing technologies. Mars One mission plan integrates components that are well tested and readily available from industry leaders worldwide. The first footprint on Mars and lives of the crew thereon will captivate and inspire generations; it is this public interest that will help finance this human mission to Mars.
The company is a curious one with venture capitalist, an angel from Golden Spike, a few guys with Masters in science. Selfdescribed spacemen.
 
Who is.....Raghuram Rajan?
 
Among the major carriers, United had the most involuntary denied boardings from July to September, the last months for which figures are available. It bumped 4,014 passengers, for 1.9 bumpings per 10,000 passengers. By contrast, JetBlue, with the fewest denied boardings, bumped just 10 passengers. This is covered by the Code of Federal Regulations under "involuntary denied boarding"  (14 CFR - 250.8). Generally, in planes with more than 60 seats, the bumped passenger is entitled to 400% of his ticket.
 
There is a severe drought in California right now.  According to tree rings, California has experienced "megadroughts" which can last for decades, even centuries. There was apparently a 240 year drought from 850-1090, and another 170 year drought after that.
According to the Society of Actuaries, the ACA's bailout of insurers was designed as incentive to insurers to set premiums too low and to make ObamaCare look affordable. That should help politicians tied to ObamaCare and protects insurers who want market share.

Barack Obama has won two Grammy Awards.
 
A large study in Oregon compared insured and uninsured. The results, reported in the May 2013 New England Journal of Medicine, were that after two years there was no significant difference between insured and uninsured in blood-sugar level, blood pressure and cholesterol levels—although those with Medicaid saved money and were less likely to suffer depression. Strangely, those with Medicaid were 40% more likely to go to emergency rooms than those without insurance.
 
According to many, the single asset most sensitive to Fed tightening is emerging-market local debt. If that is true, what responsibility to emerging markets--and their citizens--do the Americans have when they proceed with the "tapering?"

An interesting little contradiction on the notion of "subsidiarity":  Pope John Paul II took the “social assistance state” to task in his 1991 encyclical Centesimus Annus when he wrote that the Welfare State was contradicting the principle of subsidiarity  by intervening directly and depriving society of its responsibility. (Subsidiarity is a notion that anything done socially should be done with the least complexity.) This “leads to a loss of human energies and an inordinate increase of public agencies which are dominated more by bureaucratic ways of thinking than by concern for serving their clients and which are accompanied by an enormous increase in spending.” In spite of this clear warning, the United States Catholic Bishops have publicly criticized recent congressional efforts to reform the welfare system by decentralizing it and removing its perverse incentives.
 
Golden oldie:
 
According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, in late 2013 outstanding student loan debt topped $1 trillion. Additionally, over 11 percent of those loans are delinquent by 90 or more days.
Among PhDs., over 12 percent of individuals graduating from Ph.D. programs had student loan debt of $50,000 or more. Interestingly, according to the Chronicle of Higher Education, Ph.D. programs have approximately a 50 percent attrition rate so the number of students in debt of this group might be much higher.
 
"Mercurial": subject to sudden or unpredictable changes of mood or mind: e.g. "his mercurial temperament."
After Mercury, the Roman messenger of the gods; having the qualities associated with the god Mercury, such as a quick wit, eloquence, and changeability. Mercury, a liquid metal, was so named by alchemists who observed the element’s rapid, liquid flow, and likened it to the fastest moving planet, Mercury, named after the fast moving Roman messenger of the gods. Mercury is the Greek Hermes although Mercury himself seems to be of Etruscan origin.
 
The P/E ratio divides the price of a stock by the company's earnings. The Schiller CAPE P/E smooths out the earnings by averaging them for ten years. The CAPE shows--if correct--the U.S. market is the second most expensive in the world.
 
Investment banking giant Goldman Sachs has declared the renewable energy sector to be one of the most compelling and attractive markets – and is proceeding with $US40 billion ($A46 billion) of made and planned investments.
 
The Cape of Good Hope is where the warm Agulhas Current (also called the Mozambique Current), rushing down from the Indian Ocean, meets the cold Benguela Current, pushing up from Antarctica. The difference in water temperatures is a recipe for legendary storms. Bartholomew Dias, as part of the amazing Portuguese effort to sail and open the world, was the first European to have sailed around the Cape, in 1488. In 1497,  Vasco da Gama--another Portuguese--sailed the Cape to India and opened the trade routes. Dias had called the Cape the Cape of Storms but Portuguese King John II with da Gama changed the name to Cape of Good Hope to keep sailors' spirits up about the treacherous place.
 
AAAAAAaaaaaaannnnnnddddddd.......a graph:

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