Saturday, March 19, 2016

Cab Thoughts 3/19/16

There is no place for dogma in science.--J. Robert Oppenheimer




Several studies indicate that it would have been biologically impossible for humans to evolve large brains on a raw vegan diet. They conclude that meat-eating was crucial in human evolution.

An enormous Cinderella-liked glass slipper church has been erected in Ocean View Park in Budai town, situated on the east coast of Taiwan. Made entirely out of *blue tinted glass*, the church took two months to build and will be opened to the public before the Lunar New Year which falls on February 8. The church is a way of drawing in female worshipers.
 
Joaquín Guzmán Loera, "El Chapo," (and his cartel), is from Sinaloa, Mexico in the Sierra Madre. Chinese merchants brought opium to Sinaloa back in the 1800s. Black poison, they called it. And since then, Sinaloa has been full of opium. In Sinaloa, drugs provide jobs for everyone.  Drugs need to be grown, stocked, transported, protected. In Sinaloa, all who are able are enlisted. The cartel operates in the Golden Triangle, and with over 160 million acres under its control, it's the biggest cartel in all of Mexico. It manages a significant slice of U.S. cocaine traffic and distribution. Sinaloa narcos are present in more than eighty American cities, with cells primarily in Arizona, California, Texas, Chicago, and New York. They distribute Colombian cocaine on the American market. According to the Office of the United States Attorney General, between 1990 and 2008 the Sinaloa cartel was responsible for the importation and distribution of at least two hundred tons of cocaine, as well as vast quantities of heroin, into the United States. 200 tons.
His capture was whimsical, the result of an infatuation with an actress.

One of the many arguments against democracy--offered often by elites who would love to do the work themselves--is that the individual does not see himself as directly involved in the results he affects. Because no one voter’s vote will determine the outcome of an election, no voter has incentives to vote carefully and with adequate information.  (Geoffrey Brennan’s and Loren Lomasky’s 1993 book, Democracy and Decision and Bryan Caplan’s, The Myth of the Rational Voter.) Making a democratic voter even more reckless as a decision-maker is the fact that the costs and the benefits of most of the policies the elected government will pursue will fall largely on other people. Asimov wrote a short story about this very thing where a small number of voters were chosen to represent all other voters--a mini-republic of voters. Eventually this was winnowed down to a single representative voter who had the entire election depend upon him.

What makes a great investor? A Jared Dillian quote: “You have to be willing to be wrong and alone.”

Indulgences were one of the primary reasons Martin Luther made the cataclysmic decision to leave the Catholic church and start the "Protestant" movement. Indulgences were formalized forgiveness of sins and could be earned by certain acts. But they could also be bought with donations, allowing Catholics to buy forgiveness for their sins.

The American Action Forum, a right-leaning policy institute based in Washington D.C., estimates that immediately and fully enforcing current immigration law, as Trump has suggested, would cost the federal government from $400 billion to $600 billion. It would shrink the labor force by 11 million workers, reduce the real GDP by $1.6 trillion and take 20 years to complete (Trump has said he could do it in 18 months). 

Who is....Osip Mandelstam?

Samuel Taylor Coleridge claimed, 'In politics, what begins in fear usually ends up in folly.' Political activists are more inclined, though, to heed an observation from Richard Nixon: 'People react to fear, not love. They don't teach that in Sunday school, but it's true.' It is the basis of Crichton's State of Fear, which earned him the enmity of every single group that tries to capitalize on societal anxiety.

Lobotomy is a procedure where a sharp instrument such as an icepick was inserted through holes that were drilled in the skull or through the eye socket above the eye to sever the connections between the frontal lobe and the rest of the brain. Though thoroughly discredited by the 1970s it went through a period of great acceptance--perhaps because it promised to cut mental institution cost. In 1935, visiting London, Dr. Walter Freeman witnessed a presentation on chimpanzees whose frontal lobes had been operated on. No one knew why exactly, but the monkeys all became passive and subdued after the operation. Freeman began working with the technique. In his early period, Freeman's statistics said that out of his first 623 surgeries, 52 percent of the patients received 'good' results, 32 percent received 'fair' results, and 13 percent received 'poor' results. The remaining 3 percent died, but they weren't included in the 'poor' results category. Freeman would later get closer to the truth when he admitted that his fatality rate was almost 15 percent. One of Freeman's most famous patients was Rosemary Kennedy, sister of future president John F. Kennedy. The news coverage was universally positive. ... The New York Times ran a story applauding Freeman's success rate, which their reporter put at 65 percent.
The procedure crippled and ruined many--but the models were quite optimistic.

Uh oh. In a study of students at a Colorado university, attractiveness in women was linked to better grades. But, the difference disappeared for online classes.

Progressivism is a political philosophy supporting the imposition of programs and beliefs created by self-appointed experts, upon the society and culture for the purpose of improvement in both. Is such a concept compatible with American political philosophy?

What was going on with these guys on the West Coast? In 2014, the Bureau of Land Management (BLM), Fish and Wildlife Service had come to take Cliven Bundy’s cattle, in lieu of back taxes the it claims the rancher has owed it since 1993, when Bundy stopped paying grazing fees. The Bundys had homesteaded the disputed land, southwest of Mesquite, in 1877. Bundy’s forefathers had lived off the land well before the Bureau came into being. The Feds subsequently passed laws usurping Bundy’s natural right to graze his cattle. The elderly rancher offered the following rejoinder: “I have raised cattle on that land, which is public land for the people of Clark County, all my life. … I can raise cattle there because I have preemptive rights,’ among them the right to forage.” The individual vs. the power of the state. He will lose.

Uber has a $50 billion valuation despite a curious fact; they don’t make any money. Uber is trying to raise another billion—at a $70 billion valuation.

Golden oldie:
http://steeleydock.blogspot.com/2011/01/conceptual-inkblot.html

In November of 2008, as stock markets crashed around the world, the Queen of England visited the London School of Economics to open the New Academic Building. While she was there, she listened in on academic lectures. The Queen, who studiously avoids controversy and almost never lets people know what she's actually thinking, finally asked a simple question about the financial crisis: "How come nobody could foresee it?" No one could answer her. In one of the broadest studies of whether economists can predict recessions and financial crises, Prakash Loungani of the International Monetary Fund wrote very starkly, "The record of failure to predict recessions is virtually unblemished." He found this to be true not only for official organizations like the IMF, the World Bank, and government agencies but for private forecasters as well.
But they do have models.

"Always recognize that human individuals are ends, and do not use them as means to your end." - Immanuel Kant

Societies and cultures can be evaluated by many standards. One is its tolerance for dissent. The Twentieth Century has many examples on the extremes of the tolerance curve. 
The Russian poet Osip Mandelstam's wrote poems can be allusive and complex. He made this one, written in 1933, easy to understand -- and therefore available only to a trusted circle of friends:
    We live without feeling beneath us firm ground,
    At ten feet away you can't hear the sound

    Of any words but "the wild man in the Kremlin,
    Slayer of peasants and soul-strangling gremlin."

    Each thick finger of his is as fat as a worm,
    To his ten-ton words we all have to listen....
Mandelstam was arrested about seven months later. It was shortly afterwards that he became the subject of Stalin's famous telephone call to Boris Pasternak, himself a possible target at this point and therefore susceptible to turn-the-screw tactics: Had Pasternak heard the poem? What did he think of Mandelstam? Pasternak avoided the poem and praised the poet, but this did nothing to save Mandelstam from the four-year nightmare -- interrogation, imprisonment, exile, release, re-imprisonment, final disappearance -- documented by his wife in her memoir, Hope Against Hope.

Prepossessing: adj.: 1. that impresses favorably; engaging or attractive: a confident and prepossessing young man. ety.: 1640s, "causing prejudice," present participle adjective from prepossess. Opposite meaning "causing agreeable first impression" first recorded 1805.

How does Muslim polygamy work? Can anyone have multiple wives or are finances and their limitations built in? If so, is there a Darwinian element here where the more successful have more wives and kids, advancing the cause? If true, does the European welfare state, which would underwrite multiple children of the less able, make polygamy less successful?

Male offenders who abused girls have an average of 52 victims each. Men who molested boys had an average of 150 victims each.

Krauthammer had an interesting observation of the State of the Union speech. While it was short on ideas and accomplishments, it was big on optimism and the future. Hope and Change. Like the first campaign. As if the last two terms had never happened.

AAAAaaaaaaaannnnnnddddddd.....a picture of the Budai church:
 

No comments: