Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Reverie

The more uncivilized the man, the surer he is that he knows precisely what is right and what is wrong....The truly civilized man is always skeptical and tolerant, in this field as in all others. His culture is based on "I am not too sure." -H.L. Mencken, writer, editor, and critic (1880-1956) 


A 2014 Reason/Rupe poll found 48 percent of millennials agreeing that government should “do more” to solve problems, whereas 37 percent said that government was doing “too many things.” A full 58 percent of the youngest of millennials, those 18–24 when surveyed, held a “positive” view of socialism, in dramatic contrast with their parents: only 23 percent of those aged 55 to 64 viewed socialism positively.

A recent YouGov survey found that 19 percent of millennials hold favorable views of Communism, compared with only 4 percent of baby boomers. In its “Red Century” series, the New York Times celebrates Communism’s supposed progressive virtues. “For all its flaws,” said a writer, “the Communist revolution taught Chinese women to dream big.”

You can see a bigger horizon when standing on a lot of bodies. There seems to be a serious lack of historical perspective. the origin of the word "sophomore" is believed to be perhaps from Greek sophos wise + mōros foolish but it implies a temporary stop on the journey to improvement, from the foolish state to the wise. This type of thinking looks to be more permanently impaired. 


The Nunes memo has been met with anxiety but I still am unsure what it really means. One article criticized it because it damaged the image of the justice system. But if the accusations are true, the justice system deserves less respect. I'm afraid--or hopeful--that so far the accusations are unclear.
Is this nothing more than an opinion paper by a political party?



One reason people might be silent:
Rose McGowan has canceled upcoming public appearances after a heated exchange at a book event in New York City.
McGowan on Wednesday visited the Union Square Barnes & Noble to promote her new book, Brave. The former actress and  anti-sex abuse activist was verbally assaulted by a transgender person at the book signing.
On Friday, McGowan announced that she is canceling upcoming public appearances, and criticized the “publicists, the assistants, managers and every person sitting in their chairs frozen” who failed to come to her aid during what she said was a two-minute verbal assault by a paid actor.
McGowan has an interesting film history and has been brave in this current turmoil. The cocaine charge does rankle, though.



Americans consider deferral of gratification unnatural, which it is. Time was, however, thrift was considered a virtue. People sat at kitchen tables, calculating how to bring their outlays, for living and retiring, into alignment with their incomes. But eventually many people decided: This is no fun. Instead, let’s disconnect enjoyable spending decisions from tiresome facts about resources, thereby living the way the federal government does.--Will

Good lines but I certainly hope people do not think that individuals have any connection to the government.



In 1783, an estimated 7.5 to 8.0-magnitude quake struck at about 1 p.m. in the Calabria province. Within a minute, over 100 villages were leveled throughout the region. In several cases, communities were literally wiped away with no survivors or standing structures remaining. Ravines and lakes were created. 80,000 people were killed. 80,000!


Josh McDaniels should do 23 and Me testing. He might be a Kardashian.
It never occurred to me that he would renege on his contract after all the people he had hired had sold their homes and moved to follow him.




U.S. officials have long maintained the federal government would make a profit on its $1.4 trillion student loan portfolio or at least break even, but two recent reports suggest just the opposite will be the case. (wsj)



This appeared on, generally, a very thoughtful liberal website:
"Hate crimes are apparently up, in part, perhaps, because Klansmen and others — some of them “very fine people” — are encouraged by what they see as a sympathetic president.
The Washington Post recently offered this sad report: “The Confederate flag resurged. The KKK burned a cross. Racial tensions flared in a Southern town.”"
Our preoccupation with the marginal demands we ignore the center.


"If only everyone (in the Middle East) could be like Scandinavians, (achieving peace) would all be easy."--Obama
I assume he received the appropriate criticism for such national/racial/geographic generalization.

I love this debate over the military parade. The elite will send you to die but not invite you to lunch.


We are going through the process where software will automate software, automation will automate automation. --Mark Cuban
Hawking was so discouraged about AI he thought we should leave the planet. But would the machines let us?



Medscape (1/29, Mulcahy) reports that “an audit of death certificates from Norway has found that one third of all deaths attributed to prostate cancer were actually caused by something else.” But, researchers found that “there was also an underreporting of prostate deaths in the study.." Sooooo.....?


Although consumer spending expanded by 2.7% in the past year, in line with its average growth of 2.5% over the past eight years, personal income rose by only 1.9%. So spending came from borrowing. Debt. The only period in which the US saving rate was lower than it is today was 1929–1931.


A study last year by digital forensics firm Chainalysis estimated that somewhere between 2.78 million and 3.79 million bitcoins are lost. Just lost.

In 1742, the man whom I regard as the greatest philosopher who ever lived, and one of the greatest economists of all time – David Hume – wrote this: “Multitudes of people, necessity, and liberty, have begotten commerce in Holland.”  In that one short sentence, Hume summarized everything important about economic progress – economic liberty, which comes from a country being “ruled by laws rather than men,” allows people to make the most of their individual talents and opportunities; necessity – that is, in Holland’s case, the lack of great stretches of fertile land on which to grow crops easily, and therefore the necessity of creating new fertile land by fighting the sea for that land; and multitudes of people – the human talent to invent new ways of doing things and of organizing an effective society."--Julian Simon
So AI is good?

A paper theorized that the early Britons were dark skinned. The press took this as a kind of unifying view of the human race and it has gained surprising traction. The idea that color is the divisor here is very naïve, I think. And the "Get Out" movie has really disturbed me. If that is a reasonable allegory of the races in the U.S., the division is irreconcilable.   


"And we haven't seen anything yet. Wait until robotics and AI, artificial intelligence really takes off. So when people are insecure and anxious, they often defend against their own feeling by rejecting others. That often happens with minorities. It happens with ethnicities, races, religion and it also happens with respect to women …. it was an outgrowth of all this anxiety and insecurity that is playing on people and leading them in a hunt for scapegoats."--Hilary Clinton channeling Obama, Hawking and three paranoid schitzes at Georgetown



A 2015 examination of 100 psychological studies, published in the magazine Science, found that two-thirds could not be replicated. Similar problems were found with cancer research. Now here is a significant problem, a lot more important than the KKK.


According to the National Review, "Four of the five least-murderous years in New York City since 1960 have been in the de Blasio era. Other crime statistics have largely followed suit, with the total number of major crimes down in 2017 by about 6% since 2016, which was itself a record-low year."
This despite the end of "stop and frisk" that many conservatives thought were factors in the decline of crime.


If, at a given time, three-quarters of the consumers prefer to buy the Acme brand of widgets to any other brand, then Acme Inc. will be said to ‘control’ three-quarters of the market, even though consumers control 100 percent of the market, since they can switch to another brand of widgets tomorrow if someone else comes up with a better widget, or stop buying widgets altogether if a new product comes along that makes widgets obsolete.--Sowell


When you owe $21 trillion and the cost of borrowing rises 1%, that’s an extra $210 billion a year in interest payments, a little more than we spend on our veterans each year; a 3% rise would add $630 billion. Oh, well.


AAAaaaaaannnnnndddddddd..... a scary chart:

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