Some China Numbers
Anyone familiar with Zeihan will understand the potential implications of China's recent population statistics. The world is changing. Its makeup will be different. Policies, alliances, and philosophies will not be the same.
Zeihan argues that the survival of a nation depends upon three basic national functions: It must be able to reproduce its population, feed it from within, and independently provide it with energy. According to him, only five current nations can do that: Canada, the U.S., Mexico, Argentina, and Turkey. None of the other nations will be able to withstand the pressures of their deficits and will have to change in some accommodating way. Some, like Germany and Italy, will simply disappear.
Here are some new China numbers.
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While official figures won't be confirmed until Jan. 17, the Mother and Infant Daily news service said 7.88 million babies were born across China 2023, 1.68 million fewer than in 2022.
Given that 11 million people died this year, China's population has therefore fallen by 3.12 million, the population of a medium-sized Chinese city, the report said, citing the City Data account on Baidu's Tieba forum site.
Authorities in Hangzhou, Zhengzhou, and other major cities with populations in the tens of millions, are promising cash subsidies for new families, with the Wuhan Donghu High-tech Zone offering 60,000 yuan (US$8,400) per child, the highest known rate so far, according to recent media reports.
Meanwhile, the number of Chinese couples marrying for the first time has fallen by nearly 56% over the past nine years, the financial magazine Yicai quoted the 2023 China Statistical Yearbook as saying, with such marriages numbering less than 11 million in 2022.
In 2022, China's National Bureau of Statistics reported a drop in population of around 850,000 to 1.41175 billion, the first fall since 1961, the last year of China's Great Famine.
While official figures won't be confirmed until Jan. 17, the Mother and Infant Daily news service said 7.88 million babies were born across China 2023, 1.68 million fewer than in 2022.
Given that 11 million people died this year, China's population has therefore fallen by 3.12 million, the population of a medium-sized Chinese city, the report said, citing the City Data account on Baidu's Tieba forum site.
Authorities in Hangzhou, Zhengzhou, and other major cities with populations in the tens of millions, are promising cash subsidies for new families, with the Wuhan Donghu High-tech Zone offering 60,000 yuan (US$8,400) per child, the highest known rate so far, according to recent media reports.
Meanwhile, the number of Chinese couples marrying for the first time has fallen by nearly 56% over the past nine years, the financial magazine Yicai quoted the 2023 China Statistical Yearbook as saying, with such marriages numbering less than 11 million in 2022.
In 2022, China's National Bureau of Statistics reported a drop in population of around 850,000 to 1.41175 billion, the first fall since 1961, the last year of China's Great Famine.
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