Total European debt is
at 443% of GDP. US debt is 350%. European banks are leveraged over 30 to 1, US banks are about 15 to 1.
There
are only two ways that
countries in Europe can get their deficits under control and begin to
shrink
their debt-to-GDP ratios. They can either grow GDP faster than the
growth of
their debt, or reduce their debt. How can Spain, with 20% unemployment
and a
projected 6% deficit, grow enough? How can this possibly be resolved?
One, default, making the bonds of Europe--and maybe the U.S.--worthless.
Since Spain cannot inflate as the currency is not actually theirs, this
will also devalue their products and work.Two, inflate their currencies
(which an EU country can not do but the U.S. can) and drive down the
value of bonds and cash, drive up interest rates. Both solutions crunch
economic growth.
No easy place to hide.
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