Saturday, January 16, 2016

Cab Thoughts 1/16/16

A ship in port is safe; but that is not what ships are built for. -Grace Hopper, computer scientist and US Navy Rear Admiral (1906-1992)


Ryan Clark's sickle cell episode in Denver a few years ago points it out: Denver creates a true home field advantage, almost unfairly so. It sits about 5,200 feet above sea level, or some 4,000 feet higher than Pittsburgh's altitude.  “You're a mile high. That is just the science of it,” said Frank Velasquez, a former Pittsburgh Pirates strength and conditioning coordinator who is director of sports performance at Allegheny Health Network. “There's less oxygen up there, and our muscles require oxygen to function. The muscles will fatigue quicker and burn a little more — that's the physiology of the situation.” Disadvantages of playing in Denver come in more subtle forms, according to Heyer. Because there is less oxygen at higher levels, nighttime breathing may be heavier, affecting sleep quality, he said. “Sleep is an issue from my perspective in terms of not being optimal for the players,” said Heyer. The dry climate also affects hydration. “Players tend to lose more water through breathing, and there's a greater tendency to experience water depletion,” he said. “That can certainly affect performance.”

The British nurse Edith Cavell was executed in Brussels, Belgium, for treason on October 12, 1915 by the occupying German army. Her execution had an immediate and lasting effect on the course of WWI. In response to recruitment posters that asked, “Who will avenge Nurse Cavell?” enlistment numbers doubled in England. She was actually apolitical and ministered to all wounded. She told her students in her evening lectures that nursing would lead to “the widest social reform, the purest philanthropy, the finest humanity.” Good nurses were “the handmaids of that science which not only assuages and heals the suffering of today, but reaches on, through ever-widening circles, to the dawn of perfect manhood when disease shall be unknown . . ."

A recent CNN article lays many of the world's problems on global warming. This was a response in a letter to CNN: "All the perils and travails ......- from inadequate access to clean water and sanitation to long dreary hours of backbreaking work - were routinely suffered by nearly everyone on earth before the industrial revolution. Filth, hunger, short life expectancy, illiteracy, subjugation of women, sanguinary conflicts over scarce resources - these horrors are not the recent consequences of climate change.  They are the ages-old consequences of persistent and widespread poverty.  This poverty and its accompanying miseries were eliminated only when and only where people embraced the very economic system that so many of today's environmentalists wish either to abolish outright or to jeopardize with unprecedented government-fashioned fetters: entrepreneurial capitalism."

The Affordable Care Act may be in some trouble when the U.S.'s biggest health insurer, UnitedHealth, cut its 2015 earnings forecast with a warning that it was considering pulling out of Obamacare, just one month after saying it would expand its presence in the program.

In 1950, 9 percent of American adults lived alone; today, 33 percent do so, more than half of them in the 35−64 age group, more than half of them female.


The latest science on the "sensitivity" of the world's temperature to a doubling of carbon-dioxide levels (from 0.03% of the air to 0.06%) is also reassuring. Several recent peer-reviewed studies of climate sensitivity based on actual observations, including one published in 2013 in Nature Geoscience with 14 mainstream IPCC authors, conclude that this key measure is much lower-about 30%-50% lower-than the climate models are generally assuming.

Government and consumer watchdog groups have raised concerns about the ties between the Clinton Foundation, Canadian billionaire businessman Frank Giustra and the nation of Colombia. A charitable foundation running a private equity fund is "not something one hears about commonly" and is "very concerning," according to one watchdog group who say the practice is unusual and could pose a significant conflict of interest.

Who is....Bill Ayers?

According to legend, coffee was discovered in the 9th century when an Ethiopian goat herder named Khaldi noticed that his normally lethargic goats were more excitable after they had nibbled the red berries from an evergreen tree. Khaldi took the berries to a Muslim holy man, who turned the raw fruit of the coffee tree into the delicious beverage.

In Jessica Alexander’s book on humanitarian aid, Chasing Chaos, she describes the effort in specific, human detail, based on front-line work in Darfur, Rwanda, Haiti, and other regions. She has some sympathy for cash transfers, but not just any. "Advocates of cash transfers call it the future of aid. And for those who worry about where the money will be spent, the aid community has come up with a semiofficial rule, which some in the industry refer to as one of the Ten Commandments of cash transfers: Give the money to women. Women will spend it on the family [instead of] on alcohol and prostitutes."

The air campaign over Syria averages seven strikes a day. In Operation Desert Storm, we flew 1,100 sorties day. Even in the Kosovo campaign, we averaged 138.

Deborah Solomon, writing in her biography of Norman Rockwell, describes a social unity he captured: "The great subject of his work was American life — not the frontier version, with its questing for freedom and romance, but a homelier version steeped in we-the-people, communitarian ideals of America’s founding in the eighteenth century. The people in his paintings are related less by blood than by their participation in the civic rituals, from voting on Election Day to sipping a soda at a drugstore counter. Doctors spend time with patients whether or not they have health insurance. Students appreciate their teachers and remember their birthdays. Citizens at town hall meetings stand up and speak their mind without getting booed or shouted down by gun-toting rageaholics. This is America before the fall, or at least before searing divisions in our government and general population shattered any semblance of national solidarity."


C.I.A. Director Brennan: In the past several years because of a number of unauthorized disclosures and a lot of hand wringing over the government's role in the effort to try to undercover these terrorists, there have been some policy and legal and other actions that are taken that make our ability, collectively, internationally to find these terrorists much more challenging.

Golden oldie:

Shortly before her fateful maiden voyage, a fire started in the Titanic's coal bunkers. As revealed during the British inquiry into the disaster, the flames were still raging when the ship set out for New York, creating a potentially dangerous situation for those on board. According to surviving stoker J. Dilley: "We didn't get that fire out and among the stokers there was talk that we'd have to empty the big coal bunkers after we'd put the passengers off in New York and then call on the fireboats there to help us put out the fire." That didn't turn out to be necessary, since Dilley claimed the flames were extinguished when the iceberg ripped through the hull and flooded the bunkers with seawater.

Propinquity: n: 1. Nearness in place; proximity. 2. affinity of nature; similarity. Propinquity entered English in the mid-1300s and can be traced to the Latin propinquitās meaning "nearness."

The US economy reportedly added 211,000 jobs, more than the 200,000 expected, solidified its position as the "most important" one in recent years, after it was broadly interpreted by economists as the sufficient condition for the Fed to hike rates on December 16, 7 years to the day after the same Fed cut rates to zero. According to the BLS' Household Survey, while 375,000 foreign-born workers found jobs in November, a whopping 326,000 native-born Americans lost theirs. Read that again.

On a global scale, as scientists keep confirming, there has been no increase in frequency or intensity of storms, floods or droughts, while deaths attributed to such natural disasters have never been fewer, thanks to modern technology and infrastructure. Arctic sea ice has recently melted more in summer than it used to in the 1980s, but Antarctic sea ice has increased, and Antarctica is gaining land-based ice, according to a new study by NASA scientists published in the Journal of Glaciology. Sea level continues its centuries-long slow rise-about a foot a century-with no sign of recent acceleration.

If recession is truly impending, as it increasingly appears, that would mean not just the end of the recovery but the end of "accommodation" as a given force, that is a demonstrable failure of the basic Keynesian principle of monetarism. So, does that worry any Keynesians?

During Prohibition, de-alcoholized (according to the letter of the law) "near beer" was often delivered to customers with a separate package containing a portion of the raw alcohol that had been boiled off. The drinker then squirted the alcohol back into the near beer with a syringe, thus making what was commonly called “needle beer.”

AAAAaaaaaaaaaaannnnnnndddddddd......A graph of all attacks since 1970 that took place in United States. A terrorist attack is defined as the threatened or actual use of illegal force and violence by a non‐state actor to attain a political, economic, religious, or social goal through fear, coercion, or intimidation. The spike in the '70s? The esteemed Bill Ayers and his murderous friends.
Number of Attacks
197019801990200020100100200300400500
1988
Number of Attacks
27

As of 2014

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