Saturday, October 28, 2017

Reverie

But in the end what Obama did that is unforgivable is increasing centralization in a complex system.--Taleb


No one has a good answer to the Las Vegas shooting. A police state is safer but for whom? The Egyptian war on the Muslim Brotherhood has been seriously successful but there has been a lot of collateral damage. The individual madman is an outlier in the society but he is also representative of it. Why is he not representative of the society's potential leaders as well?
This is the  Danger of the Bell Curve.

Homophone: n: each of two or more words having the same pronunciation but different meanings, origins, or spelling, e.g., new and knew. A Homograph is a word of the same written form as another but of different meaning and usually origin, whether pronounced the same way or not, as bear “to carry; support” and bear “animal” or lead “to conduct” and lead “metal.”

 
Some changes are at work with traditional TV. The length of commercials is down.  Between 34% and 49% of viewers constantly use another screen when commercials are on TV and 79% of millennials are distracted by other devices during commercial breaks either "most of the time" or "all of the time." One wonders what the long term implications of services like Netflix and Amazon Prime Video are.

Who is....Auberon Waugh?

Norberg has a book out called Progress: Ten Reasons to Look Forward to the Future, 2016. .
Drawing heavily on The Better Angels of our Nature by Pinker, Norberg shows that one-on-one violence and violence by governments against people in other countries has declined considerably over the centuries. One striking statistic is the annual European homicide rate, which fell from a whopping 19 per 100,000 people in the 16th century to 3.2 in the 18th century to about one today. 
Norberg leads the chapter on violence with an 1875 quote from the famous legal scholar Sir Henry Maine: "War appears to be as old as humanity, but peace is a modern invention."

The value of a taxi cab medallion in New York just a few years ago was $2.1 million. Today, it’s $100,000 dollars, because of Uber and Lyft. Can the customer can be separated from the NFL just as easily?

There is a new sociological book on poverty out called Doing the Best I Can and a reviewer said this:
Like Promises I Can Keep, the new book leaves little doubt that poverty is a state of mind - and that state of mind is low conscientiousness.

A TV promo for a sports event said it was of interest especially because a new manager had "taken the reigns." "Reigns," of course, is a homophone of "reins" and "rains." Homophones do not get caught by spellcheck.

Reuters (10/2, Rapaport) reports a new study suggests that “less than one in three U.S. hospitals can find, send, and receive electronic medical records for patients who receive care somewhere else.” While the study found a modest improvement over the previous year, lead study author Jay Holmgren of Harvard Business School said “there is potentially a significant amount of waste and inefficiency in hospitals.” 
steeleydock.blogspot.com
"20 Feet From Stardom" is a history/documentary of famous backup singers from the 1970's and '80's, a mixture of live interviews and arc...


If it is reasonable to discourage importation of foreign goods into the country, what about foreign art and science?

Sen. Bill Nelson worried that ticket prices for flights out of San Juan and other Caribbean cities would surge. The higher costs would prevent some people from fleeing the storm, the Florida Democrat figured. Using his influence as head of the Senate committee that oversees airlines, he urged major U.S. airlines to cap fares for flights leaving cities in Maria’s path. But Imposing artificially low prices will  create shortages, albeit egalitarianly dispersed.

A follow-up of Auberon Waugh: As a result of his injuries, he lost his spleen, one lung, several ribs, and a finger, and suffered from pain and recurring infections for the rest of his life. But he survived his wounds and the war. Most of his life was spent writing, first fiction--he wrote 5 novels--then editorial journalism. He became a curmudgeon as a young man, followed his mother (and his converted father) in Catholicism (for a while) and had surprising, intense views. His obituary said Waugh "had a truly Sicilian taste for vendetta." He hated the Labour Party, loved Thatcher until he didn't, opposed Vatican 2 but was in favor of the merging of Europe mainly because it would deemphasize the Americans. He was a militant smoker and was equally opposed to the hamburger. He hated former Labour leader Jeremy Thorpe and helped expose a seamy event in his life (and ran against him as the country's only representative of the Dog Lover's Party. He lost.) 
He married Lady Teresa Onslow, daughter of the 6th Earl of Onslow and a writer. They had four children, all talented, several writers and translators and one Oxfordian.
His obit in The Guardian is really worth reading. The Mandy Rice-Davies episode alone is worth it: https://www.theguardian.com/news/2001/jan/18/guardianobituaries.booksnews 
Regarding his death, they refer to his genetics but it is likely smoking was a factor, too.


The new poster boy for sanctimonious hypocrisy might well be the esteemed Tim Murphy. Rep. Tim Murphy of Pennsylvania, an opponent of abortion, announced first he will not be seeking reelection at the end of his current term, ending speculation about his future a day after a news report claimed the married Republican had asked a woman with whom he had an extramarital affair to get an abortion. Now, why do we have to wait to get rid of this guy? Once you are elected, does that guarantee your position regardless of revelatory disasters? (He eventually did step down.)

Ishiguro won the Nobel Prize.

There are still almost 4 million Neflix subscribers who receive their DVDs by mail. That's down 17 percent from a year ago, and is much smaller than Netflix's nearly 52 million (!) domestic streaming subscribers, but it's still sizable. 

The debate over the Las Vegas shooting will continue to examine closely the wrong question. The question is not the weapon, it is the growing impact of the individual in the cultural fabric. We used to be a people where the outlier was indeed an outsider. He is now among us. We are now vulnerable to him. From guns to explosives to bioweapons to nuclear devices, the culture must see itself in thrall to the whims and obsessions of twisted men. Where we once were moved as a culture by great minds in the university who offered insight and possibilities, we now tremble before the vision and possibility of the mind of the deranged. Not that the university did not do damage--Lord knows how much evil Nietzsche, Marx and Freud unleashed--but it only proves the point. The culture  now suffers the torments of the unmoored individual.
The Revenge of the Bell Curve.

Amazon is now the top recruiter at the business schools of Carnegie Mellon University, Duke University and University of California, Berkeley. It is the biggest internship destination for first-year M.B.A.s at the University of Michigan, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dartmouth College and Duke. Amazon took in more interns from the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business than either Bain & Co. or McKinsey & Co., which were until recently among the school's top destinations of interns, according to Madhav Rajan, Booth's dean. All told, Amazon has hired some 1,000 M.B.A.s in the past year, according to Miriam Park, Amazon's director of university programs. 

AAAannnnndddddd......a map showing how the country's economy can be shown geographically:
 

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