Friday, January 22, 2010

Heizenberg and Politics

Uncertainty is a principle in all realms of study except politics. The wondrous (and I suspect reassuring) confidence that political theory inspires likely keeps the psychiatric wards unburdened in these difficult times. These people are so sure. They are so convinced. And their opponents, equally sure, are so stupid or so base or both. Centralized government theories are particularly interesting because the have the ability to be proactively wrong on a large scale; small government theories are at least less damaging through inaction. But a doctrinaire is never discouraged; both sides excuse the failures of their plans in history because they weren't done right or--my favorite--forcefully enough. The certitude required to start your revolution with the phrase "first we kill all the..." is both awe-inspiring and bewildering. Imagine such a mind encountering the camel for the first time--or entangled quantum particles.
The obvious problem is the dreaded "unintended consequences" where the local lake management council brings in frogs to kill the beetles, then snakes to kill the frogs, then alligators and then on up the predator chain to nuclear weapons. So in response to demands for mandated alcohol fuel, food shortages are created. And what are the real consequences of banning DDT? (There is a very funny question raised by a writer who asks "Why 'please don't feed the animals'"? The answer is because almost any human interference has negative qualities. Kindness Kills!)
But there is a "weakest link" problem as well. Becky Ackers has reported on the homeland security self-tests. (The airport security budget has gone from 700 million to 6 billion dollars.) Recently the administration informed airport security agents of their plans to challenge their screening techniques by sending incognito agents through airport security checkpoints with obvious weapons and threatening materials. 90% of the fake terrorists got through the checkpoints. The administration then gave the homeland security the photographs of the fake terrorists to look for. If the security agents had the pictures of the fake terrorists, 75% got through.
The next question would be: How high up on the administrative/legislative/judicial chain is the weakest link? If Obama truly believes that he and Scott Brown were elected by the same mindset, the weakest link is pretty high.

No comments: