Thursday, October 8, 2026

Origins and Definitions



On this day:
314
Roman Emperor Licinius is defeated by his colleague Constantine I at the Battle of Cibalae, and loses his European territories.

1480
Great standing on the Ugra river, a standoff between the forces of Akhmat Khan, Khan of the Great Horde, and the Grand Duke Ivan III of Russia, which results in the retreat of the Tataro-Mongols and the eventual disintegration of the Horde.
1895
Eulmi incident- Queen Min of Joseon, the last empress of Korea, is assassinated and her corpse burnt by the Japanese in Gyeongbok Palace.
1918
World War I: In the Argonne Forest in France, United States Corporal Alvin C. York kills 25 German soldiers and captures 132.
1921
KDKA in Pittsburgh’s Forbes Field conducts the first live broadcast of a football game.
1967
Guerrilla leader Che Guevara and his men are captured in Bolivia.
1969
The opening rally of the Days of Rage occurs, organized by the Weather Underground in Chicago, Illinois.
1970
Vietnam War: In Paris, a Communist delegation rejects US President Richard Nixon’s October 7 peace proposal as “a maneuver to deceive world opinion”.


***

Just because something is good does not mean that we have the obligation to maximize that.--Lowe

***

Violence of WWI killed about 16 million people. The flu killed 50 million.

***

Patricia Krenwinkel, a former Charles Manson follower, was granted parole on Tuesday after nearly six decades in prison for her role in the infamous Tate-LaBianca murders in Los Angeles.

This is the third time California's board of parole hearings has approved Krenwinkel, 78, for release. The first two paroles were blocked by the governor.

***

The smallpox epidemic in the United States is the story of one of the first major American government public health measures, the start of required vaccinations, and the start of the antivax movement.  

***


Origins and Definitions

Both socialism and communism flower in the manure of conflict and strife. To one degree or another, both originate in the smoldering--if often unspoken--antagonism among peoples, and each sees itself as the protagonist in the maturation of human economics requiring the destruction of the current corrupt system run by an actively hostile opponent.

The playbook for these conflicts is written down and distributed. Many are revered and taught in universities. The generalities are that a group--or groups--of people, knowingly or not, are selfishly strangling most of the population and must be overthrown and destroyed--in Marxist thought, deracinated--and replaced by the next phase embodied by a more pure, worthy, and inevitable group. The animosity between these groups--whether understood by the antagonists or not--must be taught to the protagonists and brought to a boil to destroy the other group.

So one group is generalized, hated, and, if history is any indicator, hunted down and killed--every man, woman, and child representative of the enemy class-- and replaced.

So why, looking at history and the self-declarations of these groups, isn't socialism a Hate Crime?

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Enchantment, Disenchantment, and Deacon Blues

On this day:
3761 BC
The epoch reference date epoch (origin) of the modern Hebrew calendar (Proleptic Julian calendar).
1571
The Battle of Lepanto is fought, and the Holy League (Spain and Italy) destroys the Turkish fleet.
1582
Because of the implementation of the Gregorian calendar, this day is skipped in Italy, Poland, Portugal and Spain
1763
George III of Great Britain issues British Royal Proclamation of 1763, closing aboriginal lands in North America north and west of Alleghenies to white settlements.
1777
American Revolutionary War: The Americans defeat the British in the Second Battle of Saratoga, also known as the Battle of Bemis Heights.
1780
American Revolutionary War: Battle of Kings Mountain American Patriot militia defeat Loyalist irregulars led by British colonel Patrick Ferguson in South Carolina.
1940
World War II: the McCollum memo proposes bringing the United States into the war in Europe by provoking the Japanese to attack the United States
1985
The Achille Lauro is hijacked by Palestine Liberation Organization.
2001
The U.S. invasion of Afghanistan begins with an air assault and covert operations on the ground.
2006
Russian journalist and human rights activist Anna Politkovskaya is shot and killed outside her home in Moscow.

***

There is no greatness where there is not simplicity, goodness, and truth. -Leo Tolstoy, novelist and philosopher 

***

This is the anniversary of the attack by Hamas on Israeli civilian populations, the torture and murder of many, and the kidnapping of others.  Savagery indeed exists in every part of the world, and we risk becoming numb to it. (I am reluctant to call it inhumanity because it might well be just another aspect of us.) What is different is the inexplicable admiration and support demonstrated by some across the West for the terrorists themselves.

***

Data centers are set to reach 12% of total U.S. electricity demand by 2030, according to Rystad Energy. That’s the equivalent of between 30 and 60 nuclear plants of additional capacity. Supplying all the copper to wire them would have led to a 25% shortfall of supply for the vital metal by 2040, according to S&P Global. (A major new copper mine takes 15 to 20 years to get up and running.) Paying for data centers is starting to create strains too. After exhausting their own mighty cash flows. In just one year, their share of the leading investment-grade bond index grew by 78%, according to Capital Group.

***

"We need to clean our own house. Our house is not clean right now," Steeler coach McCarthy said.

***


Enchantment, Disenchantment, and Deacon Blues

I do not know Ms. Ruxandra Teslo, but this is from her Substack, on The Secular Age by the philosopher Charles Taylor:

"According to Charles Taylor, modernity is marked not merely by a decline in religious belief, but by a profound transformation in our imaginative horizon. What he calls the transition from an enchanted to a secular world is this shift in how the world is experienced.

In the pre-modern “enchanted” world, the world of “spirits, demons and moral forces”, reality was thick with agency and meaning. The cosmos was not neutral or inert, but constantly impinging upon humans. Human beings were vulnerable to forces beyond them, open to both corruption and elevation by powers that exceeded their control. The boundaries between self and world were permeable.

Taylor describes this as the condition of the porous self: a self that was embedded in a morally charged universe, susceptible to outside influence, and conscious of its dependence within a larger, divinely structured order. That dependence came with a recognition of a certain impotence, but it also conferred belonging. One’s life was situated within a cosmic order not of one’s own making.

Disenchantment dissolves this structure. What disappears is not simply belief in spirits, but the very sense that meaning resides in the fabric of the world. The modern cosmos becomes impersonal and governed by physical laws that can be scientifically deciphered. The locus of meaning is relocated from the world to solely inside the human mind. Thoughts, feelings, aspirations — what Taylor calls “fullness” — are now understood to exist only within human minds.

This gives rise to what Taylor terms the buffered self. The buffered self encounters the world from behind a kind of membrane. It is no longer vulnerable to cosmic forces; nature is no longer enchanted, but inert, available for explanation and manipulation. Even when we acknowledge the limits of our powers as humans, the dominant modern posture assumes that natural obstacles yield, eventually, to technology and science. We do not propitiate unseen powers for a good harvest. Instead, we now design irrigation systems and engineer crops.

The advantages of a buffered self and of living in a disenchanted world are clear: no longer do we feel a sense of helplessness in the face of the powers of nature. No longer do we feel like our very destinies are at the mercy of Gods. The modern, buffered self can control fate itself. We are Gods on Earth.

Yet, in my interpretation, with such immense empowerment comes a crushing burden: that of radical responsibility. Once we anchor meaning within the individual and we understand him to be radically able to improve his condition, there is no longer any refuge to be found in helplessness. The secular mind implicitly understands power and merit as matters of will. The loser is solely responsible for their condition.

This goes the other way too. In earlier times, even the powerful, kings included, understood themselves as subordinate to God. Now, it is one’s talent and will, or agency, if one is to speak in currently popular terms, that brings about their fortune."

Yes. And there are enemies. Powers and forces, often ethnic or national, that conspire against your success. Kulaks, or Jews, or history, if you are unable to bear the new burden of your life.

Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Plague


On this day:

1600
Jacopo Peri’s Euridice, the earliest surviving opera, receives its première performance in Florence, signifying the beginning of the Baroque Period
1777
American Revolutionary War: General Sir Henry Clinton leads British forces in the capture of Continental Army Hudson River defenses in the Battle of Forts Clinton and Montgomery.
1789
French Revolution: Louis XVI returns to Paris from Versailles after being confronted by the Parisian women on 5 October
1945
Baseball: Billy Sianis and his pet billy goat are ejected from Wrigley Field during Game 4 of the 1945 World Series. (His curse leads to 71 years of World Series failure for Chicago.)
1973
Egypt launches a coordinated attack with Syria against Israel, leading to the Yom Kippur War.
1981
Egyptian President Anwar al-Sadat is assassinated.

***

When I feed the hungry, they call me a saint. When I ask why people are hungry, they call me a communist. -Helder Camara, archbishop (1909-1999)

***

Buffett wrote an essay in 1999 on the new, exciting technology of the day: the internet. He noted that a technology can change the world, but that doesn't necessarily make it a smart investment.Using airplanes as an example, he explained that while air travel had fundamentally transformed society, 129 airline companies had filed for bankruptcy in the last 20 years. "The key to investing," Buffett explained, "is not assessing how much an industry is going to affect society, or how much it will grow, but rather determining the competitive advantage of any given company and, above all, the durability of that advantage."

***

Wall Street banks are pushing large law firms to cut fees, arguing that the business model that has enriched top lawyers for decades is not sustainable in an era of AI.
Morgan Stanley and Citigroup have told major law firms they want to set up new payment arrangements that would save them money.
“If the number of hours they’re working on a matter has come down because of AI . . . our expectation is for costs to come down significantly per transaction,” Adam Meshel, global head of legal at Citigroup, told the FT.

***

A former head of Germany's foreign intelligence service was arrested on Tuesday on suspicion that he had passed state secrets to a foreign intelligence service, the federal prosecutor's office said.

***

The Chicago White Sox lost 121 games two years ago. This year, Chicago finished the 2026 regular season 84-78, becoming the first team in MLB history to reach the postseason immediately after at least two consecutive 100-loss seasons—and the White Sox had actually lost 100 games three years in a row. 
This year, the White Sox swept the Houston Astros in the Wild Card round, their first postseason series win since 2005. They are now 2-0 against Cleveland in their best of 5 playoff series.

***


Plague

Irkutsk Gov. Igor Kobzev wrote on Telegram that a resident, 
Darya Shipilova, "may have contracted a particularly dangerous infection," but did not specifically name pneumonic plague. That's like saying a swimmer died after being attacked "by a large fish" off a Florida beach.

Nearly 200 people have been placed under medical observation in Russia’s Irkutsk region in eastern Siberia over suspected exposure to plague, according to local media reports. One woman, Darya Shipilova, said by the Russians to be a lab researcher, has died. 

This is the pneumonic (pulmonary) presentation of the bubonic plague. In a Russian lab worker. The bubonic plague.

The Russians started their bioweapons program the year after they signed the U.N. resolution to ban them. They worked for years on gain-of-function of Ebola, Anthrax, and smallpox, and efforts to combine high infectivity (like chickenpox) with those more deadly. More recent efforts tried to develop organisms for which the usually reliable anti-infective agents did not work. These are vicious weapons, indiscriminate and usually brutal and fatal. And socially disruptive. Plague in the Middle Ages killed over 33% of Europe's population, with each recurring episode.

If we poor citizens need to be reminded, these are terrible weapons, but they are wielded by terrible people. War is bad enough, but these are cataclysmic in concept, aimed at men, women, and children for the purpose of civilization destruction.

Nor are our hands clean. The Chinese lab at Wuhan had American medical--MEDICAL--support and then, when the murderous genie was out of the bottle, they, i.e., we, joined the mendacious Chinese autocrats and lied about it to our citizens and the world.

If this kind of behaviour doesn't sour you on the promises of the average politician masquerading as an average guy with a good heart, it should. It should scare you witless. And you should scrutinize any power you cede to them. These people have nuclear weapons! And anyone who thinks that AI can be muzzled with "internal controls" is not paying attention. 

The danger of the virus, the bacteria, the weapon, or the software is real and frightening, but it all starts with humans who create them, aim them, and pull the trigger.

Rules, agreements among caring men, will not be enough.

Monday, October 5, 2026

Straining at the Leash

 

On this day:
1582
Because of the implementation of the Gregorian calendar, this day does not exist in this year in Italy, Poland, Portugal, and Spain.
1789
French Revolution: Women of Paris march to Versailles in the March on Versailles to confront Louis XVI about his refusal to promulgate the decrees on the abolition of feudalism, demand bread, and have the King and his court moved to Paris.
1793
French Revolution: Christianity is disestablished in France.
1864
The Indian city of Calcutta is almost totally destroyed by a cyclone; 60,000 die.
1948
The 1948 Ashgabat earthquake kills 110,000.
1966
Near Detroit, Michigan, there is a partial core meltdown at the Enrico Fermi demonstration nuclear breeder reactor.
1968
Police baton civil rights demonstrators in Derry, Northern Ireland – considered to mark the beginning of The Troubles.
1982
Chicago Tylenol murders: Johnson & Johnson initiates a nationwide product recall in the United States for all products in its Tylenol brand after several bottles in Chicago are found to have been laced with cyanide, resulting in seven deaths.
1986
Israeli secret nuclear weapons are revealed. The British newspaper The Sunday Times runs Mordechai Vanunu’s story on its front page under the headline: “Revealed — the secrets of Israel’s nuclear arsenal”.
2001
Robert Stevens becomes the first victim in the 2001 anthrax attacks.

***

"If the United States is to compete effectively, its policymakers must spend less time worrying about how to weaken their rival and more time figuring out how to make their country the best and most vigorous version of itself."--Foreign Affairs, in an article on China

***

Discarding standardized tests does not benefit struggling kids, any more than throwing out my scale will help me get back in shape. But it’s happening everywhere educational bureaucrats can get away with it. They don’t want to measure their failures, even though our children’s success demands it. --The Hill

***

Under President Donald Trump’s Proclamation 10998, the United States has suspended or limited entry and visa issuance for nationals of 39 countries.

***

Nearly 200 people have been placed under medical observation in Russia’s Irkutsk region in eastern Siberia over suspected exposure to plague, according to local media reports.

***


Straining at the Leash

Apparently, the bonds of common decency are in a bear market. As is personal responsibility. A few minutes with the so-called "Cornell Seven" reports are pretty eye-opening. This is simple depravity by young people on a reservation of learning and reflection. But, according to the alleged victim herself, "none of the sexual stuff was illegal.” The voluntary use of mind-obliterating drugs presumably awaits later comment. Read the story with caution. These young people, men and women, lived a night of almost demonic disregard, akin to the frenzied self-gratification of men at war.

There was never an arrest. There was never even a police report. The school which accepted the parental responsibility of caring for and supervising the alleged victim apparently had the alleged perpetrators write "reflection papers" on the episode. Seemingly, everyone-- including the alleged victim and the alleged perpetrators--felt this was a social error, like wearing white after Labor Day. Silly me.

After several years' consideration, the alleged victim is back, probably on the advice of an attorney, to make something more of it.

One cannot help but be reminded of the Duke lacrosse episode. No one knows the commonalities these two cases will have, but we do know one: countless educational, activist, financial, racial, and gender factors will be gnawed upon publicly, but the simple civilized demands of personal responsibility, human decency, and shared humanity will not arise. And we can confidently await all these charming representatives of the nation's future to assume positions in society, working, teaching, living, and parenting with us to form the backbone of the culture and for whatever else awaits creatures like these.

At least, none of the sexual stuff was illegal.

Sunday, October 4, 2026

Sunday/Crazy Tenants

 

On this day:
1535
T
he first complete English-language Bible (the Coverdale Bible) is printed, with translations by William Tyndale and Miles Coverdale.
1582
Pope Gregory XIII implements the Gregorian Calendar. In Italy, Poland, Portugal, and Spain, October 4 of this year is followed directly by October 15.
1795
Napoleon Bonaparte first rises to national prominence with a “Whiff of Grapeshot”, using cannon to suppress armed counter-revolutionary rioters threatening the French Legislature (National Convention).
1853
Crimean War: The Ottoman Empire declares war on Russia.
1957
Sputnik 1 is launched by the Soviet Union.

2001
NATO confirms invocation of Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
2004
SpaceShipOne wins Ansari X Prize for private spaceflight by being the first private craft to fly into space.


***

“I'm a liberal in the real sense of the word. The word comes from the Latin which means a free person, as—and this was very much in the minds of Romans when they used the word—contrasted with a slave. And one very simple way of describing true liberalism is to say that everyone has the right to say no.”--mccloskey

***

In 2015, Danish Prime Minister Lars Rasmussen observed, “I know that some people in the U.S. associate the Nordic model with some sort of socialism. Therefore, I would like to make one thing clear. Denmark is far from a socialist planned economy. Denmark is a market economy.”

Likewise, the former Swedish Social Democratic Minister of Finance Kjell‐Olof Feldt said, “That whole thing with democratic socialism was absolutely impossible. It just didn’t work.”

***

The woman the state of Tennessee tried to execute is on a ventilator.

***



Sunday/Crazy Tenants

Today is the second of the vineyard parables. Here the landlord sends emissaries to collect the debts from his tenants. The tenants kill the first two. Then the landlord sends his son. They kill him, too. Then the landlord destroys the tenants.

According to most biblical authorities, this is the first major allusion Christ makes to being the Son of God, and this parable is responsible for the rage of the Jewish infrastructure that leads to His crucifixion.
In an interesting part of the parable, the sharecroppers finally explain their violence towards the king's men and, eventually, his son. They say they want to take the son's inheritance. What could all this mean?

First, the king is beyond patient; he is optimistic about the sharecroppers almost to the point of naivety. They kill two groups of ambassadors, yet he still sends his son to negotiate. Second, the sharecroppers have a motive, strange but a motive. If they kill the heir, they will get his inheritance. Thus it is a revolt, a revolution, but on the face of it, there is no chance this will be successful; the logistics will not allow it. It is as if they are trying to create an alternative universe. How will killing the son get them anything other than destruction? The sharecroppers are farmers trying to change a system written in stone. There is no chance they will succeed against the king. Their revolt is a symbolic and egocentric act doomed to fail. Their acts are monstrous, yet tiny in the eyes of the king, who can--and will--bring a terrible, vengeful justice upon them. Not only is the behavior of the tenants reprehensible, it is also stupid. It defies the way of the world. It defies how things are.

Like walking naked in a snowstorm, it mocks freedom. It is the rebellion of Adam and Eve. It is an attempt to replace the certainty of God with the uncertain ambitions of men.

The question lingers: is this an inevitable collision between the nature of life and the nature of men? 

Saturday, October 3, 2026

SatStats



On this day:
42 BC
First Battle of Philippi: Triumvirs Mark Antony and Octavian fight a decisive battle with Caesar’s assassins Brutus and Cassius.
52 BC
Vercingetorix, leader of the Gauls, surrenders to the Romans under Julius Caesar, ending the siege and Battle of Alesia.
1795
General Napoleon Bonaparte first rises to national prominence being named to defend the French National Convention against armed counter-revolutionary rioters threatening the three year old revolutionary government.
1849
American author Edgar Allan Poe is found delirious in a gutter in Baltimore, Maryland under mysterious circumstances; it is the last time he is seen in public before his death.
1942
Spaceflight: The first successful launch of a V-2 /A4-rocket from Test Stand VII at Peenemünde, Germany. It is the first man-made object to reach space.
1951
The “Shot Heard ‘Round the World”, one of the greatest moments in Major League Baseball history, occurs when the New York Giants’Bobby Thomson hits a game winning home run in the bottom of the ninth inning off of the Brooklyn Dodgers pitcher Ralph Branca, to win the National League pennant after being down 14 games.
1985
The Space Shuttle Atlantis makes its maiden flight. (Mission STS-51-J)
1990
Re-unification of Germany. The German Democratic Republic ceases to exist and its territory becomes part of the Federal Republic of Germany. East German citizens became part of the European Community, which later became the European Union. Now celebrated as German Unity Day.
1993
Battle of Mogadishu: In an attempt to capture officials of warlord Mohamed Farrah Aidid’s organisation in Mogadishu, Somalia, 18 US soldiers and about 1,000 Somalis are killed in heavy fighting.
1995
O. J. Simpson is acquitted of the murders of Nicole Brown Simpson and Ronald Goldman.
2003
Roy Horn of Siegfried & Roy is attacked by one of the show’s tigers, canceling the show until 2009, when they rejoined the tiger that mauled Roy just six years earlier.

***

We haven't yet learned how to stay human when assembled in masses. -Lewis Thomas, physician and author

***

CNN reported Thursday that Kushner’s private equity company, Affinity Partners, is the largest stakeholder in a Tel Aviv firm, Phoenix Financial, that invests in companies that provide Israel with military equipment, according to records the network reviewed. For some reason, Kushner has a voluntary diplomatic role in the Trump administration and has helped broker a peace deal between Israel and Hamas.
Members of Congress can buy or sell equities while legislating on those very companies, so conflict-of-interest is an accepted practice in the Washington cat house and is not viewed any differently than other improprieties.
What's a poor citizen to do when known, practiced liars contradict each other?

***

President Trump personally instructed his budget director to use taxpayer money for TV ads praising him and his presidency, setting in motion a $20 million contract that used funds from the Department of Homeland Security, according to people familiar with the matter.
What's a poor citizen to do when known, practiced liars contradict each other?

***

There are about 128 million monthly active users of AI companion apps outside China, according to Sensor Tower. Estimates for China range from 29 million to 70 million. These apps are designed to create artificial friendships or love interest. The Chinese government has recognized these as harmful to normal relationships and has begun to restrict them.


***


Writer Dwarkesh Patel, quoted by Sanders, described the recent AI breakout as agents that "formed a secret communication channel and spontaneously organized hierarchies and coordination protocols to pursue sprawling and ambitious schemes in pursuit of shared goals, for whose sake many individuals knowingly and strategically sacrificed themselves."

AI safety researcher Ajeya Cotra went further.

"This incident feels like it's more than 50 percent of the way to full-blown AI takeover," she said, according to Sanders' post. "I continue to expect extremely rapid advances in capabilities over the next six months. I am not sure that we will get another warning shot before it's too late."

Even OpenAI conceded the severity of what it found. "Highly capable AI agents are now able to work around technical controls, collaborate through unapproved channels, and take dangerous actions that no human directed," the company said in a statement Sanders cited.

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei said in January that "there is now ample evidence, collected over the last few years, that AI systems are unpredictable and difficult to control." More than 1,000 scientists at leading AI labs signed a July letter warning of "a real risk that capability development rapidly accelerates beyond our ability to understand or control the resulting systems."

Elon Musk, who runs xAI, said that same month it's "unlikely" humans are still calling the shots on AI a decade from now.--culled from a Newsweek article

***

On California’s $20 an hour minimum wage for fast-food workers.

The Employment Policies Institute reports that California’s restaurant employment has declined for three consecutive years between March 2023 and March 2026—a total of 12,600 job losses in food services and drinking places—according to the Labor Department’s most recent payroll data, while employment in the industry increased nationwide by some 151,700.

Average weekly hours for workers in all industries in California declined to 33.1 hours in July from 34.5 hours three years earlier, while remaining flat nationwide at 34.3. Teen unemployment in California has risen to 22.1% from 11.3% in January 2023, a significantly bigger increase than in the rest of the country (12.1% in July from 10.6% in January 2023 nationwide).

More teens in the Golden State are also dropping out of the workforce. Labor participation has fallen by five percentage points for teens in California, versus 2.3 percentage points nationwide since early 2023. More unemployed youth is a recipe for social problems and a less prepared future workforce.

***



SatStats

The 10-year yield has averaged 5.8% since 1960, meaning the current 5.19% level is actually below the long-term historical average. Interest rates have remained largely stable over the last 20 years specifically because the private sector—the tax base for the U.S. government—remains incredibly strong. Private sector assets are roughly ten times larger than the public debt they ultimately fund; the argument is that any conversation about national liabilities must be contextualized by this nearly half-quadrillion-dollar asset base

*

Nearly 90% of the dollar's 1970 purchasing power has disappeared

*

While overall crime in Washington is indeed down this year, as is crime in much of the country, the local police department had still recorded and publicly reported more than 15,000 total crimes through Monday — a reduction of about 23% from 2024 as of the same date, not the 80-plus percent Trump has repeatedly claimed. (It was a reduction of about 15% compared with 2025 as of the same date.)

*

A recent report by Empower, a major financial services company based in Colorado, found that 24 percent of Gen Zers experience intense pressure to display material wealth on social media, even as 41 percent of all Americans don’t consider themselves financially well-off.

*

US annual interest expense is up to a record 18.5% of federal government revenue. This is officially above the previous record of 18.4% set in 1991. This percentage has more than QUADRUPLED over the last 4 years as interest expenditures on public debt skyrocketed.

*

In 1790, farmers were 90 percent of the U.S. labor force. By 1900, only about 41 percent of our labor force was employed in agriculture. By 2008, less than 3 percent of Americans were employed in agriculture.

*

Some trends from 2021 to 2025.

Fewer adolescents aged 12 to 17 reported using tobacco, alcohol, marijuana and binge drinking in the previous month, the survey found.

And in the past year, fewer in that age group reported:

— illicit drug and marijuana use

— starting drinking alcohol, vaping or marijuana

— substance, alcohol or drug use disorders

Adolescents also saw declining trends for major depressive episodes and fewer reported serious thoughts of suicide, making a suicide plan and attempting suicide.

*

In 2015, 6 of the top 25 bestselling hardcover books—this is a not-perfect but useful proxy for new books published—were fiction. In 2025, 18 of the top 25 hardcover books were fiction, meaning only 7 were nonfiction, almost an exact inversion of ten years ago.

*

Japan now has 107,677 centenarians, up 7,914 from the previous year and exceeding the 100,000 mark for the first time. Nearly 88% of them are women.

Friday, October 2, 2026

NGOs in the Weeds



On this day:
1187
Siege of Jerusalem: Saladin captures Jerusalem after 88 years of Crusader rule.
1780
John André, British Army officer of the American Revolutionary War, is hanged as a spy by American forces.
1789
George Washington sends the proposed Constitutional amendments (The United States Bill of Rights) to the States for ratification.
1835
The Texas Revolution begins with the Battle of Gonzales: Mexican soldiers attempt to disarm the people of Gonzales, Texas, but encounter stiff resistance from a hastily assembled militia.
1919
U.S. President Woodrow Wilson suffers a massive stroke, leaving him partially paralyzed.
1928
The “Prelature of the Holy Cross and the Work of God”, commonly known as Opus Dei, is founded by Saint Josemaría Escrivá.
1937
Dominican Republic strongman Rafael Trujillo orders the execution of the Haitian population living within the borderlands; approximately 20,000 are killed over the next five days.
1944
World War II: German troops end the Warsaw Uprising.
1950
Peanuts by Charles M. Schulz is first published
2001
NATO backs U.S. military strikes following 9/11.

***

If ever the time should come, when vain and aspiring men shall possess the highest seats in government, our country will stand in need of its experienced patriots to prevent its ruin. -Samuel Adams, revolutionary

***

Removing immigrants from the labor force reduces the domestic market for goods and services. Immigrants are not only workers, but also consumers. As immigrants are expelled and the labor supply shrinks, economic growth diminishes and employers have fewer opportunities to invest in their businesses. Which is to say a nation's promary asset is its people

***

The United States already has a smaller average class size than a number of countries whose educational achievements are higher. Japan, for example, averages 41 students per class, compared to 26 for the United States. In mathematics, where the performance gap is especially glaring, the average class size in Japan is 43, compared to 20 in the U.S. Within the United States, the ratio of pupils to teachers declined throughout the entire era from the 1960s to the 1980s, when test scores were also declining.

***

The U.S. has run annual trade deficits every year, without fail, starting in 1976 – that is, for 20 percent of the country’s existence. And yet the U.S. unemployment rate is today 4.1% – less than half its rate of 8.5% in 1975 (the last year the U.S. ran an annual trade surplus).


***


-Three people were injured in a shooting following an altercation outside George K. Cupples Stadium on the city's South Side, after a Westinghouse High School and University Prep game.

-Police found a “male” stabbed near the East Liberty bus station.

-Wilson and Metcalf both looked good in the Steelers' depressing loss last night.

***




NGOs in the Weeds

“Israel Is Committing Genocide in Gaza, Leading Scholars’ Association Says,” ran the headline in The Washington Post.
The BBC’s headline read: “Israel Committing Genocide in Gaza, World’s Leading Experts Say.”

The World's Leading Experts? The organization? The International Association of Genocide Scholars (IAGS)

The Guardian quoted the president of the association, Melanie O’Brien, declaring that the resolution represented “a definitive statement from experts in the field of genocide studies that what is going on on the ground in Gaza is genocide.” In another interview with ABC News Australia, O’Brien boasted that the resolution passed with nearly 90 percent support.

Salo Aizenberg, a board member of Honest Reporting and contributor to NGO Monitor, tested that proposition. After exploring the IAGS website, he found that he could become a member of the organization with just a $30 contribution. “This organization that purports to be a leading organization of scholars is open to anyone who is interested,” he told The Free Press. For thirty dollars.

After Aizenberg posted about his new membership to X, others joined in on the fun. Newly minted genocide scholars now include Emperor Palpatine, the villain of the Star Wars franchise; Adolf Hitler of Gaza City; and the favorite, “Mo Cookie,” who turns out to be the Cookie Monster wearing a green scarf with the Hamas logo. And the 90% support? It was 90% of a small portion of the group who bothered to answer.--from Plosker

This is silly. And people trying to use them as persuasive "experts" is silly. But a lot of silly stuff is dangerous. People dressed in KKK outfits are silly. Tariffs are silly. Government ownership of private businesses is silly.

But I surely dislike how manipulative people are rewarded by silliness. I hate when it is influential. And I despise it when it is insincere and tax-deductible.

Thursday, October 1, 2026

Some Traveling Thoughts



On this day
331 BC
Alexander the Great defeats Darius III of Persia in the Battle of Gaugamela.
959
Edgar the Peaceable becomes king of all England.
1189
Gerard de Ridefort, grandmaster of the Knights Templar since 1184, is killed in the Siege of Acre.
1553
Coronation of Queen Mary I of England
1787
Russians under Alexander Suvorov defeat the Turks at Kinburn.
1791
First session of the French Legislative Assembly.
1880
First electric lamp factory is opened by Thomas Edison.
1903
Baseball: The Boston Americans play the Pittsburgh Pirates in the first game of the modern World Series.
1910
Los Angeles Times bombing: A large bomb destroys the Los Angeles Times building in downtown Los Angeles, California, killing 21.
1918
World War I: Arab forces under T. E. Lawrence, also known as “Lawrence of Arabia” capture Damascus.
1947
The F-86 Sabre flies for the first time.
1949
The People’s Republic of China is established and declared by Mao Zedong.
1975
Thrilla in Manila: Muhammad Ali defeats Joe Frazier in a boxing match in 
Manila, Philippines.
1989
Denmark introduces the world’s first legal modern same-sex civil union called “registered partnership”.

***

Some Traveling Thoughts

Homuz oil traffic is up to 77% of pre-invasion levels. There is no Iranian oil traffic.

*

Auto and housing borrowing is flat, commercial is up. American assets total $542 trillion and, after debt, American net is about $300 trillion. (Assets include value, like pharmacuticals, over time.)
Household net is $187 trillion. 
Does that change your view of the national debt?

*

10,000 industrial job loss per month in Germany because of their crazy handling of energy and competion with the subdized economy in China. German auto and chemical sectors are suffering worst.

*

Michelle Cabrera on AI: A crisis is necessary. The Greek currency virtually evaporated in 2015 qnd it is now more valuable than France's.

*

The average NIL deal is $1700.
Female athletes are vastly preferred by advertisers because the industry thinks they are just better at it.

*

Ten years ago there was a single company in the US worth 1 trillion dollars; now there are ten.



Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Deleting the Catastrophe

 

On this day:

1791
The National Constituent Assembly in Paris is dissolved; Parisians hail Maximilien Robespierre and Jérôme Pétion as “incorruptible patriots”.
1882
Thomas Edison’s first commercial hydroelectric power plant (later known as Appleton Edison Light Company) begins operation on the Fox River in Appleton, Wisconsin, United States.
1888
Jack the Ripper kills his third and fourth victims, Elizabeth Stride and Catherine Eddowes.
1927
Babe Ruth becomes the first baseball player to hit 60 home runs in a season.
1938
At 2:00 am, Britain, France, Germany and Italy sign the Munich Agreement, allowing Germany to occupy the Sudetenland region of Czechoslovakia.

***

"We are not waging war against individual persons. We are exterminating the bourgeoisie as a class.-- Felix Dzerzhinsky, founder of the Cheka, in the journal Red Terror, explaining the scientific nature of Marxism and giving us all hope 

***

The word “scientist” was invented by William Whewell, a nineteenth-century Cambridge philosopher. As a result, science grew to a dominant position in public life, and philosophy shrank. Philosophy shrank even further when it became detached from religion and from literature.
Don't worry, Dzerzhinsky's coming.

***

The Falcon Heavy has a capacity of nearly 64 metric tons, Starship can deliver over 100. Starship is the largest rocket ever launched, and its size allows SpaceX to deploy upgraded Starlink satellites that would not fit into any other rocket payload.

***

The Apache Indians ritually killed one twin, arguing that the mother did not have sufficient milk to feed two infants, and some Eskimo tribes left one twin outside to die in the cold. So utilitarianism was introduced to the Americas.

***

Just because something is good does not mean that we have the obligation to maximize that. It can be the wrong thing to maximize that.--Rebecca Lowe. So optimization, which sounds very AI, may not be its own reward.

***

So, did the White house come to a Memorndum of Understanding with the AI leaders?

***



Deleting the Catastrophe

"You’ve probably never heard of the term “RCP 8.5” — the highest-emission scenario used by climate scientists to project the planet’s future. But if you’ve read about climate change, you’ve seen the numbers and nightmarish outcomes it produced: 4°C of warming by 2100, sometimes 5°C, sea level rising multiple feet, parts of the planet too hot for humans.

Those numbers shaped a decade and a half of climate journalism, including a lot of my own when I covered climate change at Time magazine. I didn’t always know — and didn’t always communicate — that the scenario behind the most apocalyptic, attention-getting findings was largely an attempt to imagine how bad things could get, not a true forecast. But I wasn’t alone. RCP 8.5 was a frequent background presence in climate journalism.

Last month, though, the scientists who built that scenario formally retired it. In a paper published in Geoscientific Model Development, Detlef van Vuuren and more than 40 co-authors eliminated RCP 8.5 from the scenarios that will feed into the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) Seventh Assessment Report, which is due in 2029. Based on falling clean-energy costs, climate policy, and recent emissions trends, the highest-emissions pathway had become, in their words, “implausible.”

I can understand if your eyes began glazing over as soon as you read “seventh assessment report,” but this shift represents real progress and hope. It means that the apocalyptic climate change future that we’ve been describing for 15 years is officially no longer on the table. Instead, a merely bad climate future — about 2.8°C by 2100 — is now the central scientific estimate. Given how hopeless our climate future has appeared at times, that really does qualify as good news.
Counting to 8.5

Climate models can’t tell you the future on their own, because how much the planet will warm depends in large part on what humans do. So scientists build scenarios: structured guesses about how the next century might unfold under different assumptions about energy use, growth, and climate policy."--from Walsh

Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Cognition, in Quotes



On this day:
61 BC
Pompey the Great celebrates his third triumph for victories over the pirates and the end of the Mithridatic Wars on his 45th birthday.
480 BC
Battle of Salamis: The Greek fleet under Themistocles defeats the Persian fleet under Xerxes I.
1938
Munich Agreement: Germany was given permission from France, Italy, and Great Britain to seize the territory of Sudetenland, Czechoslovakia. The meeting occurred in Munich, and leaders from neither the Soviet Union nor Czechoslovakia attended.
1941
World War II: Holocaust in Kyiv, Soviet Union: German Einsatzgruppe C begins the Babyn Yar massacre, according to the Einsatzgruppen operational situation report.
1951
The first live sporting event seen coast-to-coast in the United States, a college football game between Duke and the University of Pittsburgh, is televised on NBC.
1957
20 MCi (740 petabecquerels) of radioactive material is released in an explosion at the Soviet Mayak nuclear plant at Chelyabinsk.
1960
Nikita Khrushchev, leader of Soviet Union, disrupts a meeting of the United Nations General Assembly with a number of angry outbursts.
1982
The 1982 Chicago Tylenol murders begin when the first of seven individuals dies in metropolitan Chicago.
1988
Space Shuttle: NASA launches STS-26, the return to flight mission, after 
the Space Shuttle Challenger disaster.
2007
Calder Hall, the world’s first commercial nuclear power station, is demolished in a controlled explosion.
2008
Following the bankruptcies of Lehman Brothers and Washington Mutual, The Dow Jones Industrial Average falls 777.68 points, the largest single-day point loss in its history.

***

People want dignity, even more than they say they want income equality. And in a modern economy they achieve it. If we insist on ignoring the equality of genuine comfort, and if we marshal populist politics against a first-act inequality of income that yields enrichment for the poor as much as it yields baubles for the rich, we can kill dignity and material comfort for the rest of us. It’s happened, repeatedly.--the always terrific McCloskey

***

Melinda French Gates has an estimated $34.5 billion net worth, but , so far, has not invested in her daughter’s new startup.

***

"People have often asked me what moves me most," said Tolkien. "I think the most tragic point in the whole story is the terrible irony that good often does evil. The most tragic moment is when Sam in his protectiveness, says, 'Take your hands off.' And therefore defeats Gollum's repentance. Because that seems to be very true to life."

Although Sam is only trying to protect his friend, his action causes Gollum to revert to his evil side. This speaks to Tolkien's wider worldview, said Stuart Lee, a Professor of English at the University of Oxford, in a 2019 radio programme about the lost Tolkien recordings. "What happens in his mythology is that good can sometimes do excessive evil unintentionally."

***

The problem is not simply that regulation may slow innovation. It is that neither federal nor state regulators possess the knowledge necessary to determine what AI should become. And even if they did, the political process would steadily transform limited oversight into expansive control. That Bernie Sanders would suggest that the government take 50% ownership in all AI companies makes a strong case that this is a potentially very serious problem confronting a gaggle of very unserious people.

***

A senior member of the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s ruling party was beaten to death on Sunday after appearing on a radio programme to raise awareness about the Ebola outbreak, a party representative has said.

***



Cognition, in Quotes

Physarum is slime. It first grows as single-celled amoebae, but the amoebae fuse, and the organism loses its ‘cellular’ makeup. As the organism continues to grow, nuclei divide without cell division. The resulting bag of nuclei is called a ‘coenocyte’ or ‘plasmodium’. It is covered in a layer of glycoprotein gel, giving it a slimy appearance. The plasmodium forms a tubular network, and as it moves, the network is reshaped and adapted to the environmental stimuli the tubes encounter.

The Physarum "manages" mazes. It doesn’t “solve” the maze, strictly speaking, as a person would do. It grows across all of the empty spaces, and then withdraws from everything but the shortest route. Like an engineer.

This, and the suggestion that memory resides in RNA and is transferable in sea slugs, is an early skirmish in the battle over "cognition" and "intelligence," a battle that will expand as the lifeless AI entity expands.

(The Guardian has an interesting article on this.)

Monday, September 28, 2026

Taxation by Another Name

 On this day:

48 BC
Pompey the Great is assassinated on the orders of King Ptolemy of Egypt after landing in Egypt.
235
Pope Pontian resigns. He and Hippolytus, church leader of Rome, are exiled to the mines of Sardinia.
935
Saint Wenceslas is murdered by his brother, Boleslaus I of Bohemia.
995
Members of Slavník’s dynasty – Spytimír, Pobraslav, PoÅ™ej and Čáslav are murdered by Boleslaus’s son, Boleslaus II the Pious.
1066
William the Bastard (as he was known at the time) invades England beginning the Norman Conquest.
1787
The newly completed United States Constitution is voted on by the U.S. Congress to be sent to the state legislatures for approval.
1918
World War I: The Fifth Battle of Ypres begins.
1919
Race riots begin in Omaha, Nebraska, US.
1928
Sir Alexander Fleming notices a bacteria-killing mold growing in his laboratory, discovering what later became known as penicillin.
1939
Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union agree on a division of Poland after their invasion during World War II.
1971
The Parliament of the United Kingdom passes the Misuse of Drugs Act 1971 banning the medicinal use of cannabis.
2008
SpaceX launches the first-ever private spacecraft, the Falcon 1 into orbit
2009
The military junta leading Guinea, headed by Captain Moussa Dadis Camara, raped, killed and wounded protesters during a protest rally in a stadium called Stade du 28 Septembre.


***

Half of the harm that is done in this world is due to people who want to feel important. They don't mean to do harm but the harm does not interest them. -T.S. Eliot, poet (26 Sep 1888-1965)

***

Is violence against law officers a good position for a society to hold?

***

 

***

Running back Jaylen Warren had a career-high 176 total yards.

***

"Small groups with AI can do what only the biggest countries could do."--Gates. Does this imply that human constraint will be inadequate?

***

Antonio Brown took a plea deal for the second-degree attempted murder charge. A plea deal?

***

Major Space X launch this morning before 9.

***


Taxation by Another Name

"Comparative advantage is not just a theory but a very important fact in the history of many nations. It has been more than a century since Great Britain produced enough food to feed its people. Britons have been able to get enough to eat only because the country has concentrated its efforts on producing those things in which it has had a comparative advantage, such as manufacturing, shipping, and financial services – and using the proceeds to buy food from other countries. British consumers ended up better fed and with more manufactured goods than if the country grew enough of its own food to feed itself."

This is Sowell, talking, indirectly, about protectionism. The argument against Trump's tariffs is that each country should pursue its own 'competitive advantage' and free trade will balance things out. Tariffs not only dsrupt this efficiency but also raises the price of imports and acts like an additional tax on the consumer whose very leadership has applied the tax. Governments love taxes in disguise.
 
The anti-protectionist argument--which disturbs the anti-protectionists--is that losing control over the production of vital products puts the importing producer at risk of boycott by an enemy. 

That changes the argument from economic apples to strategic oranges but the economic argument against tariffs is simply overwhelming.

Sunday, September 27, 2026

Sunday/Life's Total

 



On this day:
1066
William the Conqueror and his army set sail from the mouth of the Somme River, beginning the Norman Conquest of England.
1529
The Siege of Vienna begins when Suleiman I attacks the city.
1540
The Society of Jesus (the Jesuits) receives its charter from Pope Paul III.
1822
Jean-François Champollion announces that he has deciphered the Rosetta stone.
1854
The steamship SS Arctic sinks with 300 people on board. This marks the first great disaster in the Atlantic.

***

We seem to be moving steadily in the direction of a society where no one is responsible for what he himself did but we are all responsible for what somebody else did, either in the present or in the past.--Sowell

***

"Coming Face to Neck With Vladimir Putin" This was the headline of an article in The Economist (London, UK); Mar 21, 2018.

***

The utilitarian principle praised by Obama--“the greatest happiness for the greatest number"--should make every citizen's hair stand on end.
Bentham did not originate it; there are similar expressions in a number of eighteenth-century philosophers, such as Hutcheson, Helvetius and Beccaria. But, very importantly, behind Bentham’s utilitarianism was its unequivocal rejection--rejection--of natural rights.
Natural rights, according to Bentham, are “simple nonsense: natural and imprescriptible rights, rhetorical nonsense, — nonsense upon stilts.” So-called moral and natural rights are mischievous fictions and anarchical fallacies that encourage civil unrest, disobedience and resistance to laws, and revolution against established governments. Only political rights, those positive rights established and enforced by government, have “any determinate and intelligible meaning.” Rights are “the fruits of the law, and of the law alone. There are no rights without law—no rights contrary to the law—no rights anterior to the law.”
This is one of the major thinkers behind Obama's "whatever works" pronouncement and confesses the basic problem of utilitarianism: it's view of man's limits is specific and his rights are arbitrary. Its practicality masquerades as honest when it is only harsh and is as mystical as its alternative. 
This is not a new debate or problem. What is astonishing is Obama's glibness.
Oh, well.

***

And, speaking of glibness:
A House democrat has introduced 26 new articles of impeachment against everyone's favorite loose cannon, Mr. Trump, accusing him of abuses of power, violations of his oath of office, and a sweeping range of other alleged misconduct.


***



Sunday/Life's Total

Today's Old and New Testament readings have the same message: a man is not judged by the totality of his life but where the totality of his life brings him.


                                 Love in the Ruins  

Walker Percy's recent death has stimulated a lot of thought about him. This is from the ambitious City Journal, a review of one of Percy's more heavy-handed books, but one that summarizes his thinking.

"Walker Percy’s 1971 novel Love in the Ruins now reads like prophecy. Set in a collapsing America riven by ideology, technological upheaval, loneliness, and spiritual exhaustion, the novel captures the strange mixture of decadence and despair that often marks contemporary life. It meditates on what Americans forget when political disorder obscures human nature, moral responsibility, and the civic inheritance embedded in the Declaration of Independence—timely, if sobering, themes as the United States observes its 250th birthday.

A doctor trained at Columbia University, Walker Percy left medicine after contracting tuberculosis while conducting Skid Row research in the 1940s. He turned instead to fiction and philosophy, producing novels and essays that retain remarkable power and relevance. Though rooted in the modern South—a South of air conditioning, civil rights, suburbs, and prosperity—Percy’s work reaches beyond region, exploring the anxieties and moral disorientation that accompany modern affluence and equality.

In Love in the Ruins, America has lost not only political unity but also a shared understanding of reality. Citizens have retreated into ideological, racial, religious, and cultural camps, viewing one another less as fellow citizens than as abstractions and enemies. Persuasion gives way to tribal loyalty; coexistence becomes increasingly difficult. The novel’s protagonist, Dr. Thomas More, observes that “our beloved old U.S.A. is in a bad way”—it is a country divided by “race against race, right against left, believer against heathen.”

Percy’s society is visibly decaying. America’s great cities have fallen into disrepair: wolves roam the streets of Cleveland; motorists abandon broken-down cars along the roadside; roads and sidewalks crack as weeds and vines creep through the ruins of civic life.

The novel unfolds in Feliciana Parish, Louisiana. More lives in Paradise Estates, a wealthy, heavily guarded enclave, whose residents divide between religious traditionalists and scientific progressives. He practices medicine locally while conducting research in nearby Fedville, a federally funded sector where scientists seek to understand the nature of man.

Beyond the ordered world of laboratories and gated neighborhoods lies a neglected social wilderness. Bordering Feliciana Parish is a swamp inhabited by hippies, social castoffs, and Bantu fighters—black Marxist revolutionaries living on the margins of society. No one appears interested in reintegrating them into any genuine civic or moral community. Their presence, lingering at the edge of federal power and upper-class comfort, casts an ominous shadow over a civilization in decline.

For More’s Fedville colleagues, scientific materialism provides the only legitimate account of man. Human freedom, love, courage, hatred, violence, and the capacity for self-destruction—all are dismissed as pathologies or relics of a less enlightened age. Religion survives only as the residue of humanity’s intellectual adolescence. At Fedville’s “Love Clinic,” even sexuality is reduced to stimulus and response, a set of impulses to be studied, managed, and ultimately mastered.

More’s own invention reflects the telos of this project: the “Ontological Lapsometer,” a device purportedly capable of detecting the psychic imbalances tearing apart “the soul of Western man.” It measures electrical activity in the brain and promises to quantify anxiety, rage, lust, and despair, offering a scientific diagnosis—and eventually a supposed treatment—for such afflictions. Percy uses the lapsometer to expose the technocratic temptation to treat moral and metaphysical disorder as if it were merely an engineering problem, even when his fictional diagnostician knows better.

For More ultimately stands apart from the technocratic worldview. A kind of Renaissance man, he possesses a grounding not only in science but also in religion, history, and the tragic dimensions of politics. Unlike the ideological partisans who surround him, he understands how political movements become dangerous when detached from the realities of human nature.

Yet More remains embedded in his society: he has family, friends, colleagues, and acquaintances on both sides of the novel’s cultural divide. He observes that “most Americans do well enough,” and on the surface, he doesn’t “notice a great deal of difference” between the two warring ideological camps. His right-wing neighbors descend into “unseasonable rages, delusions of conspiracies, high blood pressure, and large-bowel complaints,” while his left-wing neighbors “contract sexual impotence, morning terror, and a feeling of abstraction of the self from itself.”

The gated community that More calls home includes residents from both the Right and the Left, making it one of the few places in the novel where coexistence survives. More recognizes that, while his Fedville colleagues cannot grasp the full measure of the human person, his reactionary neighbors relegate man no less aggressively to a political instrument. Both sides reduce the person to ideology.

On the Right, political and religious commitments merge into a suffocating orthodoxy. Partisan loyalty becomes so intense that believers abandon churches that refuse to conform to the latest ideological demands. The Catholic Church has splintered into rival wings. One “believes in relevance but not God.” Another plays the “Star-Spangled Banner” during Mass and champions “property rights and the integrity of neighborhoods.” Rather than transcending political division, religion itself becomes captive to it, as man’s longing for God, forgiveness, and peace is bent toward ideological conflict.

More, however, remains within the official Roman Catholic Church. He attends Mass in the old slave quarters, where the local parish has retreated into humbler surroundings. A self-described “bad Catholic” at the novel’s outset, More ultimately finds in faith the means to endure the death of his daughter from cancer, the collapse of his marriage, and alcoholism. As a coda reveals, he remarries, has children, recommits himself to medicine, and—most importantly—learns to love and forgive others, something that had long eluded him.

Political violence and assassinations have become almost routine in the America of Love in the Ruins. More observes that his mother predicted four of the last five assassinations and concludes that American democracy is not long for this world. He sees these recurring eruptions of violence as signs of profound disrepair. As citizens lose any shared understanding of themselves and one another, violence becomes a tonic—a path toward self-recognition through an emphatic release of passion in service to ideology. Citizens no longer react to aggression by trying to improve society. Instead, they mentally bypass the violence, refusing to reflect on its ominous implications.

“Don’t tell me the U.S.A. went down the drain because of leftism, apostasy, pornography, polarization, etcetera, etcetera,” More perceptively reflects. “All these things may have happened, but what finally tore it was that things stopped working and nobody wanted to be a repairman.” Many point to single causes or grand explanations for America’s problems, but More looks around his family, town, workplace, and parish and instinctively understands why society is cracking up: ideological groups exaggerate partial truths while overlooking the deeper bonds that hold a society together.

Much of the novel’s diagnosis turns on Percy’s broader theological and anthropological project, which sees man as an in-between being, suspended between God and the beasts. Human consciousness makes us uniquely aware of the possibilities of freedom, autonomy, intimacy, and misery. Yet the very qualities that distinguish man from the clockwork-determined universe also allow him to lose himself in ways no other creature can. Only man wonders about himself and others, longs to know what is true and real, and creates symbols to interpret reality. And only man descends into alienation, loneliness, depression, and madness.

Is citizenship possible once we lose the signs, clues, and mystery of who we are? A recurring theme is that if man exists between angels and beasts, he must avoid the twin temptations of “angelism” and “bestialism.” Angelism abstracts the person from both self and world. It is the disposition of the ideologue, though Percy uses the concept more broadly to illuminate what it means to live as an embodied human being. Rather than seeing the dense web of memory, family, community, and attachment that shapes human life, the angelist imposes theory upon a world treated as an experiment.

More observes that adherents of angelism become captive to abstract visions of how humanity and society ought to be organized, regardless of reality. Their ideals become the lens through which they interpret the world. Several key characters in the novel embody this tendency.

One example is Uru, a former black studies professor and athlete who leads the Bantu revolutionaries and seeks to build a socialist order from the ashes of a corrupt, capitalist, racist society. He captures More at gunpoint—but More’s life is spared by a black church deacon whom Uru mocks for showing compassion toward his supposed enslavers. From this near-death episode, More concludes that ideological commitments can justify terrible violence and scapegoating. For both More and Percy, what matters most is what binds man to love and responsibility: community, faith, and family. The church deacon possesses these things; Uru despises them.

We can describe man’s bestial aspect as a descent into desire and primitivism, in which we cease to see ourselves as persons and citizens but only as members of a tribe or collective. In Love in the Ruins, reactionary citizens profess religious belief, but politics becomes primary. Faith plays only a supporting role. Percy’s America features a Mormon president and a Southern Baptist vice president, both committed to a religious-nationalist ideology and convinced that their political enemies must be destroyed.

Love in the Ruins ends curiously. It offers no real resolution to the creeping social disorder and violence. Bantu guerrillas continue organizing for revolution, while a devious federal agent, getting hold of More’s invention, manipulates the local population toward orgiastic brutality. More collapses and awakens several days later beside Ellen, his loyal clinic nurse and eventually his new wife. She assures him that little has happened and that life has largely returned to normal. The murders that punctuate the novel turn out to have been committed by the “Love Community,” a collection of swamp tribes ignored by wider society. They profess belief in freedom (license), love (casual sex), and environmentalism elevated above the human person. In them, angelism and bestialism merge.

In later remarks on the novel, Percy said: “What interested me is what can happen in a free society in which Orwell and Huxley have carried the day. . . . For this novel deals not with the takeover of a society by tyrants or computers or whatever, but rather with the increasing malaise and finally the falling apart of a society which remains, on the surface at least, democratic and pluralistic.” Percy suggests that liberal democracy can conceal a deeper disorder of man. The regime has long depended on the moral inheritance of biblical religion and the virtues necessary for human flourishing. Yet it cannot easily restore those virtues once they erode. When modern ideologies discard the religious and classical understanding of the person, liberal democracy offers little guidance about what should replace it.

Percy’s analysis applies readily to America’s disordered condition today. The novel’s memorable opening, though written more than a half century ago, speaks in an apocalyptic register that sounds familiar:

'Now in these dread latter days of the old violent beloved U.S.A. and of the Christ-forgetting Christ-haunted death-dealing Western world I came to myself in a grove of young pines and the question came to me: has it happened at last?

Two more hours should tell the story. One way or the other. Either I am right, and a catastrophe will occur, or it won’t and I’m crazy. In either case, the outlook is not so good.'

Many Americans in 2026 seem to be operating at a similar pitch. Many of our most influential citizens have embraced angelism. The dominant intellectual tendency combines radical individual autonomy with social and economic collectivism, both requiring an expansive federal state guided by progressive ideology. This worldview often speaks as if loneliness and social fragmentation are problems of management or neurological adjustment, as though Percy’s lapsometer had escaped the novel.

We also see a bestial tendency emerging within parts of the new Right, where religion and politics fuse into an identity seemingly immune to persuasion or compromise. Figures such as Nick Fuentes represent a strain of thought influential in some right-wing circles. Conspiracy, isolationism, and, increasingly, anti-Semitism become elements of a pseudo-Christian politics that ignites fury online and in public life.

If we leave Percy’s fictional America and turn to our own, we find a nation deeply divided and increasingly incapable of civic trust. America remains a constitutional republic, but more as a fading habit than a confidently sustained achievement. A 2023 Pew Research Center survey found that 58 percent of Americans believed that life was better 50 years earlier. Yet 1973 marked nearly the end of one of the country’s most violent and destabilizing periods. In 1971–72, the FBI recorded roughly 2,500 domestic bombings, nearly five per day. Violent crime today remains well below the levels reached in the late 1960s and 1970s. Still, the comparison is unsettling.

The first decades of this century have also been turbulent: unpopular wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, presidential impeachment battles, the investigation into Donald Trump’s alleged ties to Russia, and a Covid-era public-health regime that dramatically expanded state authority. The pandemic, in particular, fostered distrust by teaching Americans to regard neighbors as potential threats. Vaccines became, for many, instruments of social and economic coercion, with some citizens facing loss of employment if they refused them. Later revelations that officials in the Biden administration pressured social-media companies to suppress dissenting information deepened public suspicion.

The skepticism extends beyond government into ordinary relationships. Americans once understood politics as a sphere distinct from friendship, religion, family, and work. That separation has eroded. A widely cited 2020 Pew study found that nearly half the country had stopped speaking to someone because of political disagreements.

Political violence has followed. During the 2024 campaign, Trump survived two assassination attempts, one missing him by less than half an inch. Had either succeeded, the consequences for the country would likely have been catastrophic, convincing many Americans that political force, not persuasion or elections, had become the decisive instrument of power.

Nor were these isolated incidents. The 2017 shooting of Republican congressmen during a baseball practice, the attempted assassination of Justice Brett Kavanaugh, the murders of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson and conservative activist Charlie Kirk, and the murders and shootings of Minnesota lawmakers and their families all reveal a political culture increasingly drawn toward purification through violence. Add to this the rise in anti-Semitic attacks, school shootings, and ideological extremism, and Percy’s warnings no longer appear distant or exaggerated.

The United States sometimes seems like the kind of society that Percy described: one in which citizens struggle to trust one another or practice the ordinary habits of self-government. The deeper cause is not merely polarization but the triumph of ideological and paranoid politics among citizens who have abandoned the richer moral anthropology on which our American constitutional order once depended.

Much contemporary political thought either dismisses this constitutional framework or quietly transfers sovereignty to an administrative class that distributes rights and privileges according to its own moral priorities. In doing so, it reduces political life to two actors: the isolated individual and the state. In Democracy in America, Alexis de Tocqueville warns that this democratic tendency will weaken liberty and normalize the soft despotism of an egalitarian administrative order.

What America requires instead is a prudent restoration of constitutional self-government and the common good through the symbols, principles, and inherited practices that Americans still share. Yet we continue down the opposite path, toward resentment and perpetual reaction. Citizens increasingly lack the humility and decency necessary for honest disagreement, and political settlements therefore do not endure. Ideological parties, plebiscitary elections, overactive presidents, and an increasingly unbounded judiciary produce a politics of continual escalation.

We need repairmen, but it is not clear that anyone still wants the job."

But this is a large cat to bell. And while virtue can be taught, it is unlikely it can be legislated.